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Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $54.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $518.5KEvent: Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B
100.0¢
1win
0.1¢
Team Nemesis
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection10Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets30Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution91Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 20 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:202 trades$203.1K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:1win · $6.7K net·20 wallets·$22.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELL1win$36.7K@ 100¢·LhordGryffin

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

1win pressure: $19.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$19.7K
6h
+$36.6K
tracked
$203.1K

20 verified profitable wallets: 1win · $6.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from 1win or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-02 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "1win" if 1win win Game 2 against Team Nemesis.

•This market will resolve to "Team Nemesis" if Team Nemesis win Game 2 against 1win.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Decider match between 1win and Team Nemesis in the BLAST Slam Group B, initially scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "1win" if 1win win Game 2 against Team Nemesis. This market will resolve to "Team Nemesis" if Team Nemesis win Game 2 against 1win. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 16, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 2, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
yanedaniil2 linked markets · $44.4K gross
0xe16d…5e302 linked markets · $32.5K gross
mqww2 linked markets · $25.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: 1win UP 5.5pp · near-book depth $9 → $796 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor 1win; negative values favor Team Nemesis. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h1win · $19.7K
6h1win · $36.6K
24h1win · $36.6K

1win price VWAP

Volume-weighted 1win price. Team Nemesis fills are converted to the complementary 1win probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h81.7¢▲ above by 18.3pp
VWAP 7d81.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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1win price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$83.1K
90¢
$1.4K
85¢
$1.3K
80¢
$5.1K
75¢
$10.9K
70¢
$14.4K
65¢
$68.1K
60¢
$18.5K
55¢
$111
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELL1win$36.7K@ 99.9¢
LhordGryffin0x9909…311c
🐋—6 minutes ago
BUY1win$20.8K@ 99.7¢
LhordGryffin0x9909…311c
🐋—6 minutes ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

LhordGryffin1win$20.8K
BUY VWAP 99.7¢·1 fill
0xe16d…5e301win$13.5K
BUY VWAP 67.6¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.