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Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $173.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $530.7KEvent: Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians
93.5¢
Chicago White Sox
6.5¢
Cleveland Guardians
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection6Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets21Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority49Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 87%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:71 trades$250.1K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 47%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 36s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Chicago White Sox · $11.1K net·10 wallets·$48.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCleveland Guardians$139.6K@ 58¢·teslaRoadster

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Chicago White Sox pressure: $13.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$13.8K
6h
−$156.9K
tracked
$250.1K

10 verified profitable wallets: Chicago White Sox · $11.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 87% · priority 49

Since latest market sweep: -56.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Chicago White Sox or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-10 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for October 3 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Cleveland Guardians@ 63.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -34.0pp1h INVALIDATED -38.0pp
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Cleveland Guardians@ 60.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -29.0pp1h INVALIDATED -44.0pp
WHALE FOLLOW THROUGHBUY Cleveland Guardians@ 60.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -29.0pp1h INVALIDATED -44.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Cleveland Guardians@ 61.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -29.0pp
Latest book event: Chicago White Sox UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $10.9K → $2.1K · 24s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Chicago White Sox; negative values favor Cleveland Guardians. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hChicago White Sox · $13.8K
6hCleveland Guardians · $156.9K
24hCleveland Guardians · $156.9K

Chicago White Sox price VWAP

Volume-weighted Chicago White Sox price. Cleveland Guardians fills are converted to the complementary Chicago White Sox probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current93.5¢
VWAP 24h47.8¢▲ above by 45.7pp
VWAP 7d47.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Chicago White Sox price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$6.1K
90¢
← now
$1.5K
85¢
$13
80¢
$4.8K
75¢
$2.9K
70¢
$22.9K
65¢
$1.3K
60¢
$3.0K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$7.6K
40¢
$185.6K
35¢
$16.9K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCleveland Guardians$20.0K@ 57.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYCleveland Guardians$139.6K@ 58.0¢
teslaRoadster0x11fe…41b4
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

teslaRoadsterCleveland Guardians$139.6K
BUY VWAP 58.0¢·1 fill
kkookkooCleveland Guardians$20.0K
BUY VWAP 57.9¢·1 fill
HomeRunHazardChicago White Sox$18.5K
BUY VWAP 62.3¢·4 fills
HomeRunHazardCleveland Guardians$14.2K
BUY VWAP 51.5¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.