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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $321.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.0MEvent: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches
100.0¢
Team Spirit
0.1¢
Team Yandex
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection22Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 25 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:310 trades$361.9K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Team Yandex · $269 net·25 wallets(1🐋)·$61.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLTeam Spirit$42.6K@ 100¢·gxxyy

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Team Yandex pressure: $79.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$79.6K
6h
−$123.7K
tracked
$361.9K

25 verified profitable wallets: Team Yandex · $269 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 84% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Team Yandex or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-03 23:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win Game 2 against Team Yandex.

•This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win Game 2 against Team Spirit.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Seeding match between Team Spirit and Team Yandex in the BLAST Slam Seeding Matches, initially scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win Game 2 against Team Yandex. This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win Game 2 against Team Spirit. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
gxxyy3 linked markets · $70.9K gross
0xe16d…5e303 linked markets · $41.3K gross
Netrol3 linked markets · $40.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Team Yandex UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $716 → $560 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team Spirit; negative values favor Team Yandex. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Yandex · $79.6K
6hTeam Yandex · $123.7K
24hTeam Yandex · $123.7K

Team Spirit price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team Spirit price. Team Yandex fills are converted to the complementary Team Spirit probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h66.3¢▲ above by 33.6pp
VWAP 7d66.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Team Spirit price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$139.9K
90¢
$4.2K
85¢
$6.4K
80¢
$4.0K
75¢
$2.7K
70¢
$1.4K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$1.1K
50¢
$13.6K
45¢
$48.2K
40¢
$82.5K
35¢
$39.9K
30¢
$16.0K
25¢
$2.0K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLTeam Spirit$42.6K@ 99.9¢
gxxyy0x4aec…4ce9
🐋—22 minutes ago
SELLTeam Spirit$10.5K@ 99.9¢
GaoJin-GamblingGod0x37e9…eede
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Spirit$15.2K@ 99.9¢
DotG0xcd36…0f01
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Yandex$16.5K@ 60.0¢
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Yandex$10.5K@ 55.0¢
Netrol0x23c8…f293
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xe16d…5e30Team Yandex$21.0K
BUY VWAP 58.9¢·10 fills
Sunshine.SmileTeam Yandex$19.4K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·2 fills
0x076d…8d4cTeam Spirit$16.6K
BUY VWAP 38.9¢·9 fills
DotGTeam Spirit$15.2K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
NetrolTeam Yandex$10.5K
BUY VWAP 55.0¢·1 fill
gxxyyTeam Spirit$10.4K
BUY VWAP 82.8¢·9 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.