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New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $38.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $483.2KEvent: New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays
2.5¢
New York Yankees
97.5¢
Tampa Bay Rays
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection14Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets73Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution82Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority61Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:81 trades$190.3K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:New York Yankees · $100.1K net·7 wallets(2🐋)·$136.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNew York Yankees$106.1K@ 45¢·BrotherObama

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Tampa Bay Rays pressure: $27.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$27.3K
6h
+$98.6K
tracked
$190.3K

7 verified profitable wallets: New York Yankees · $100.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 61

Since latest large flow: -41.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Tampa Bay Rays or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-10 22:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for October 3 at 6:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY New York Yankees@ 44.0¢3h ago
15m INVALIDATED -4.0pp1h INVALIDATED -13.0pp
Latest book event: Tampa Bay Rays UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $14 → $4.8K · 4s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor New York Yankees; negative values favor Tampa Bay Rays. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTampa Bay Rays · $27.3K
6hNew York Yankees · $98.6K
24hNew York Yankees · $100.1K

New York Yankees price VWAP

Volume-weighted New York Yankees price. Tampa Bay Rays fills are converted to the complementary New York Yankees probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current2.5¢
VWAP 24h37.9¢▼ below by 35.4pp
VWAP 7d37.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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New York Yankees price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$109.6K
40¢
$18.5K
35¢
$2.5K
30¢
$67
25¢
$30.2K
20¢
$9.3K
15¢
$17.3K
10¢
$2.7K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTampa Bay Rays$15.4K@ 71.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYNew York Yankees$106.1K@ 45.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

BrotherObamaNew York Yankees$106.1K
BUY VWAP 45.0¢·1 fill
printmonTampa Bay Rays$21.2K
BUY VWAP 81.2¢·4 fills
0x2c33…0563Tampa Bay Rays$15.4K
BUY VWAP 71.0¢·1 fill
KatalunygeaxvhjNew York Yankees$13.6K
BUY VWAP 28.0¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.