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Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group D

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $395.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $395.3KEvent: Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group D
99.9¢
GamerLegion
3.4¢
Team Liquid
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets21Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 72%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:245 trades$105.5K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 27%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 18 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:GamerLegion · $5.4K net·8 wallets(1🐋)·$25.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGamerLegion$17.3K@ 30¢·CORGI8

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

GamerLegion pressure: $3.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$3.1K
6h
+$26.8K
tracked
$105.5K

8 verified profitable wallets: GamerLegion · $5.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 72% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +71.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 18 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from GamerLegion or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-02 21:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion win the match against Team Liquid.

•This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against GamerLegion.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Decider match between GamerLegion and Team Liquid in the BLAST Slam Group D, initially scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion win the match against Team Liquid. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against GamerLegion. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 16, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 2, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 2h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
CORGI83 linked markets · $36.8K gross
GameGambleStakes2 linked markets · $27.8K gross
0xe16d…5e303 linked markets · $22.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY GamerLegion2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY GamerLegion@ 29.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +24.0pp
Latest book event: GamerLegion UP 5.5pp · near-book depth $4.9K → $1.1K · 31s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor GamerLegion; negative values favor Team Liquid. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGamerLegion · $3.1K
6hGamerLegion · $26.8K
24hGamerLegion · $26.8K

GamerLegion price VWAP

Volume-weighted GamerLegion price. Team Liquid fills are converted to the complementary GamerLegion probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h46.5¢▲ above by 53.4pp
VWAP 7d46.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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GamerLegion price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$3.0K
90¢
$1.8K
85¢
$0
80¢
$1.7K
75¢
$5
70¢
$104
65¢
$1.3K
60¢
$1.2K
55¢
$20.4K
50¢
$31.0K
45¢
$0
40¢
$2
35¢
$0
30¢
$35.0K
25¢
$9.9K
20¢
$64
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYGamerLegion$11.4K@ 55.0¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYGamerLegion$17.3K@ 30.0¢
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

CORGI8GamerLegion$26.7K
BUY VWAP 30.0¢·2 fills
0x076d…8d4cGamerLegion$12.7K
BUY VWAP 54.9¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.