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China Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Diana Shnaider

Sports→TennisSettlement: Ekaterina AlexandrovaLiquidity: $809.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $369.9KEvent: China Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Diana Shnaider
100.0¢
Ekaterina Alexandrova payout
0.0¢
Diana Shnaider payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDiana Shnaider$14.0K@ 66¢·ferrariChampions2026

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Ekaterina Alexandrova. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-11 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Ekaterina Alexandrova and Diana Shnaider in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ekaterina Alexandrova' if Ekaterina Alexandrova advances against Diana Shnaider. This market will resolve to 'Diana Shnaider' if Diana Shnaider advances against Ekaterina Alexandrova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Ekaterina Alexandrova@ 91.0¢20d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ekaterina Alexandrova; negative values favor Diana Shnaider. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hEkaterina Alexandrova · $2.9K
6hDiana Shnaider · $26.8K
24hDiana Shnaider · $38.0K

Ekaterina Alexandrova price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ekaterina Alexandrova price. Diana Shnaider fills are converted to the complementary Ekaterina Alexandrova probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h53.92¢▲ above by 46.1pp
VWAP 7d53.92¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Ekaterina Alexandrova price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$21.0K
90¢
$1.5K
85¢
$1.6K
80¢
$1.8K
75¢
$5.6K
70¢
$8.8K
65¢
$282
60¢
$1.8K
55¢
$28
50¢
$16.0K
45¢
$5.0K
40¢
$12.1K
35¢
$0
30¢
$20.2K
25¢
$18.9K
20¢
$6.3K
15¢
$2.3K
10¢
$0
5¢
$95
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYDiana Shnaider$14.0K@ 66.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—20 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.