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Valorant: FUT Esports vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $40.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $924.3KEvent: Valorant: FUT Esports vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A
30.5¢
FUT Esports
69.5¢
T1
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly48Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution82Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:162 trades$407.8K tracked8% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 11 min agoofficial metadata 56s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:FUT Esports · $13.6K net·12 wallets·$20.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYT1$39.4K@ 54¢·Lakersfan111

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$415
6h
−$80.9K
tracked
$407.8K

12 verified profitable wallets: FUT Esports · $13.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest liquidity absorption: -16.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 11 minutes old.
  • •Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-04 17:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://vlr.gg
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win the match against T1.

•This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match against FUT Esports.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Valorant Decider match between FUT Esports and T1 in the VCT Champions Group A, initially scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win the match against T1. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match against FUT Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 4, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 2h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
fantasy77882 linked markets · $29.5K gross
0x076d…8d4c2 linked markets · $5.0K gross
0xheavy8882 linked markets · $2.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY FUT Esports@ 47.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -19.0pp
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY T1@ 54.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h CONFIRMED +17.0pp
ACCUMULATIONBUY FUT Esports@ 48.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -12.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY T1@ 53.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h CONFIRMED +10.0pp
Latest book event: FUT Esports DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $1.1K → $1.1K · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor FUT Esports; negative values favor T1. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFUT Esports · $415
6hT1 · $80.9K
24hT1 · $67.3K

FUT Esports price VWAP

Volume-weighted FUT Esports price. T1 fills are converted to the complementary FUT Esports probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current30.5¢
VWAP 24h47.3¢▼ below by 16.8pp
VWAP 7d47.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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FUT Esports price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$1.6K
50¢
$4.8K
45¢
$406.5K
40¢
$184
35¢
$1.0K
30¢
← now
$44
25¢
$1.6K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYFUT Esports$19.5K@ 48.7¢
fantasy77880x0259…769e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYT1$19.2K@ 52.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYT1$29.3K@ 54.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYFUT Esports$11.0K@ 47.0¢
PS0030xf4ec…c574
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYT1$39.4K@ 54.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYT1$36.6K@ 54.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYT1$10.9K@ 53.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYFUT Esports$36.0K@ 49.0¢
qiu30x7f73…14f1
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYFUT Esports$23.0K@ 48.0¢
qiu30x7f73…14f1
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYT1$11.1K@ 53.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYT1$23.8K@ 53.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYT1$34.3K@ 52.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYFUT Esports$12.3K@ 49.0¢
gregbeast0x4980…5709
🐋—about 22 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Lakersfan111T1$213.3K
BUY VWAP 53.2¢·9 fills
qiu3FUT Esports$62.2K
BUY VWAP 48.6¢·4 fills
fantasy7788FUT Esports$19.5K
BUY VWAP 48.7¢·1 fill
gregbeastFUT Esports$17.1K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·2 fills
PS003FUT Esports$11.0K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·1 fill
0x1610…ae49FUT Esports$10.2K
BUY VWAP 44.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.