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China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $197.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $215.0KEvent: China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic
71.5¢
Alexander Zverev
28.5¢
Novak Djokovic
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets51Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority55Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 87%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:38 trades$103.8K tracked8% 🐋source coverage 48%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alexander Zverev · $6.4K net·3 wallets·$12.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAlexander Zverev$13.8K@ 70¢·kahe

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Novak Djokovic SETUP
What the tape says

Novak Djokovic pressure: $1.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.6K
6h
+$32.3K
tracked
$103.8K

3 verified profitable wallets: Alexander Zverev · $6.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 87% · priority 55

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Novak Djokovic or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-11 11:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Novak Djokovic in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Novak Djokovic. This market will resolve to 'Novak Djokovic' if Novak Djokovic advances against Alexander Zverev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alexander Zverev; negative values favor Novak Djokovic. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNovak Djokovic · $1.6K
6hAlexander Zverev · $32.3K
24hAlexander Zverev · $40.3K

Alexander Zverev price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alexander Zverev price. Novak Djokovic fills are converted to the complementary Alexander Zverev probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current71.5¢
VWAP 24h71.2¢▲ above by 0.3pp
VWAP 7d71.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alexander Zverev price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$9.4K
70¢
← now
$87.9K
65¢
$6.5K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLAlexander Zverev$10.9K@ 71.0¢
isco230x86eb…6566
🐋—42 minutes ago
BUYAlexander Zverev$10.9K@ 71.0¢
isco230x86eb…6566
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAlexander Zverev$13.8K@ 70.0¢
kahe0x88d1…18da
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kaheAlexander Zverev$13.8K
BUY VWAP 70.0¢·1 fill
isco23Alexander Zverev$10.9K
BUY VWAP 71.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.