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Wuning 3: Ajeet Rai vs Grigoriy Lomakin

Sports→Settlement: Grigoriy LomakinLiquidity: $14.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $12Event: Wuning 3: Ajeet Rai vs Grigoriy Lomakin
0.0¢
Ajeet Rai payout
100.0¢
Grigoriy Lomakin payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:18 trades$360 trackedsource coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1220 min agoofficial metadata 136 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Grigoriy Lomakin · $171 net·2 wallets·$186 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAjeet Rai$30.1K@ 75¢·0xe30e…6b87

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Grigoriy Lomakin. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-11 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Ajeet Rai and Grigoriy Lomakin in the Wuning 3, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ajeet Rai' if Ajeet Rai advances against Grigoriy Lomakin. This market will resolve to 'Grigoriy Lomakin' if Grigoriy Lomakin advances against Ajeet Rai. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 20h ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Grigoriy Lomakin UP 20.5pp · near-book depth $25.3K → $10 · 73s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ajeet Rai; negative values favor Grigoriy Lomakin. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGrigoriy Lomakin · $39
6hGrigoriy Lomakin · $16
24hAjeet Rai · $33.6K

Ajeet Rai price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ajeet Rai price. Grigoriy Lomakin fills are converted to the complementary Ajeet Rai probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h75.1¢▼ below by 75.1pp
VWAP 7d75.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Ajeet Rai price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$2.0K
75¢
$32.6K
70¢
$801
65¢
$13
60¢
$157
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$1
40¢
$22
35¢
$0
30¢
$3
25¢
$0
20¢
$185
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$132

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAjeet Rai$30.1K@ 75.0¢0xe30e…6b87🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xe30e…6b87Ajeet Rai$30.1K
BUY VWAP 75.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.