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LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

Sports→Esports · League of LegendsSettlement: Team LiquidLiquidity: $1.0MOfficial 24h Vol: $1.2MEvent: LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
100.0¢
Team Liquid payout
0.0¢
LYON payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Team Liquid · $16.0K net·23 wallets(1🐋)·$88.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Liquid$38.9K@ 85¢·0xf201…527e

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Team Liquid. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-05 02:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against LYON.

•This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win the match against Team Liquid.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between Team Liquid and LYON in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against LYON. This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win the match against Team Liquid. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 4, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 3d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xf201…527e5 linked markets · $211.8K gross
lolgosu4 linked markets · $199.5K gross
Lakersfan1112 linked markets · $128.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY LYON@ 62.0¢3d ago
15m INVALIDATED -27.0pp1h INVALIDATED -47.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Team Liquid3d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Team Liquid@ 47.0¢3d ago
15m CONFIRMED +5.0pp1h CONFIRMED +20.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Team Liquid@ 47.0¢3d ago
15m CONFIRMED +11.0pp1h CONFIRMED +17.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team Liquid; negative values favor LYON. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLYON · $10.7K
6hTeam Liquid · $125.3K
24hTeam Liquid · $91.4K

Team Liquid price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team Liquid price. LYON fills are converted to the complementary Team Liquid probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h60.7¢▲ above by 39.3pp
VWAP 7d60.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Team Liquid price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$18.1K
90¢
$10.1K
85¢
$80.7K
80¢
$3.2K
75¢
$12.9K
70¢
$39.1K
65¢
$6.6K
60¢
$30.2K
55¢
$3.7K
50¢
$4.8K
45¢
$133.5K
40¢
$97.7K
35¢
$0
30¢
$3.9K
25¢
$0
20¢
$2.3K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLTeam Liquid$10.4K@ 99.9¢
Donghui0x5877…d894
🐋—3 days ago
SELLTeam Liquid$31.2K@ 72.0¢0xf201…527e🐋—3 days ago
BUYTeam Liquid$38.9K@ 85.0¢0xf201…527e🐋—3 days ago
BUYTeam Liquid$25.0K@ 64.0¢
fantasy77880x0259…769e
🐋—3 days ago
BUYTeam Liquid$21.5K@ 47.4¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—3 days ago
BUYLYON$22.2K@ 54.0¢
StasPanda0x7e5e…7315
🐋—3 days ago
BUYTeam Liquid$10.9K@ 46.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—3 days ago
BUYTeam Liquid$11.1K@ 45.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—3 days ago
BUYTeam Liquid$17.9K@ 45.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—3 days ago
BUYTeam Liquid$17.6K@ 44.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—3 days ago
BUYTeam Liquid$14.8K@ 44.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—3 days ago
BUYLYON$11.2K@ 55.9¢
calamansidios0x8606…db26
🐋—4 days ago
BUYLYON$13.3K@ 55.0¢
Odzfx0x9770…0ff5
🐋—4 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Lakersfan111Team Liquid$114.8K
BUY VWAP 45.0¢·10 fills
0xf201…527eTeam Liquid$38.9K
BUY VWAP 85.0¢·1 fill
fantasy7788Team Liquid$25.0K
BUY VWAP 64.0¢·1 fill
StasPandaLYON$22.2K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill
OdzfxLYON$13.3K
BUY VWAP 55.0¢·1 fill
calamansidiosLYON$11.2K
BUY VWAP 55.9¢·1 fill
Jer-PredictLYON$10.7K
BUY VWAP 64.2¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.