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Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · Dota 2Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $56.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $246.2KEvent: Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
0.1¢
Team Yandex
100.0¢
LGD Gaming
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection10Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution92Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 57%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:16 trades$15.4K trackedsource coverage 26%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 43 min agoofficial metadata 18s ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Yandex$2.9K@ 63¢·ImSmart

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Team Yandex pressure: $1.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$1.6K
6h
+$6.8K
tracked
$15.4K

1 verified profitable wallet: LGD Gaming · $2 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 57% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 43 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Team Yandex or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-08 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex wins 2 or more games than LGD Gaming in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "LGD Gaming".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 1 match between Team Yandex and LGD Gaming in the BLAST Slam Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex wins 2 or more games than LGD Gaming in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "LGD Gaming". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 22, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 8, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
GeorgeRe3 linked markets · $29.4K gross
cat3xcat3x3 linked markets · $24.6K gross
Sunshine.Smile2 linked markets · $22.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: LGD Gaming UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $245 → $3 · 36s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team Yandex; negative values favor LGD Gaming. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Yandex · $1.6K
6hTeam Yandex · $6.8K
24hTeam Yandex · $12.7K

Team Yandex price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team Yandex price. LGD Gaming fills are converted to the complementary Team Yandex probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h55.4¢▼ below by 55.4pp
VWAP 7d55.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Team Yandex price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$2
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$13.5K
55¢
$11
50¢
$16
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$12
10¢
$0
5¢
$6
0¢
← now
$1.8K

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.