UFC Fight Night: Nate Landwehr vs. Mandel Nallo (Lightweight, Main Card)

Sports→Combat SportsCloses: 1 dayLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $2.4KEvent: UFC Fight Night: Nate Landwehr vs. Mandel Nallo (Lightweight, Main Card)

0.0¢

Nate Landwehr

0.0¢

Mandel Nallo

0.0¢

Spread

anomaly5Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 67%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:3 trades$1.6K trackedsource coverage 67%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 36 min agoofficial metadata 673 min ago

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMandel Nallo$1.6K@ 72¢·bobe2

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

+$3

tracked

$1.6K

1 verified profitable wallet: Mandel Nallo · $1.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?

0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 67% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
•Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
•Observed tape is 36 minutes old.
•Official market metadata is 673 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

OPEN

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-10-18 03:59 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events

Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Nate Landwehr" if Nate Landwehr is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mandel Nallo at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Mandel Nallo" if Mandel Nallo is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Nate Landwehr" if Nate Landwehr is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mandel Nallo at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026. It will resolve to "Mandel Nallo" if Mandel Nallo is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 31, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Nate Landwehr; negative values favor Mandel Nallo. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1hNate Landwehr · $3

6hNate Landwehr · $3

24hMandel Nallo · $1.6K

Nate Landwehr price VWAP

Volume-weighted Nate Landwehr price. Mandel Nallo fills are converted to the complementary Nate Landwehr probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current0.0¢

VWAP 24h28.0¢▼ below by NaNpp

VWAP 7d28.0¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Nate Landwehr price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

65¢

60¢

55¢

50¢

45¢

40¢

35¢

30¢

25¢

$1.6K

20¢

15¢

10¢

5¢

0¢

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago

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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now

No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.