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Braga: Matej Dodig vs Andrea Pellegrino

Sports→TennisSettlement: Matej DodigLiquidity: $70.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $155.4KEvent: Braga: Matej Dodig vs Andrea Pellegrino
100.0¢
Matej Dodig payout
0.0¢
Andrea Pellegrino payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLMatej Dodig$24.3K@ 100¢·0xc1acc1

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Matej Dodig. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-12 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Matej Dodig and Andrea Pellegrino in the Braga, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matej Dodig' if Matej Dodig advances against Andrea Pellegrino. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Pellegrino' if Andrea Pellegrino advances against Matej Dodig. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Matej Dodig; negative values favor Andrea Pellegrino. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAndrea Pellegrino · $1.2K
6hAndrea Pellegrino · $829
24hAndrea Pellegrino · $829

Matej Dodig price VWAP

Volume-weighted Matej Dodig price. Andrea Pellegrino fills are converted to the complementary Matej Dodig probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h97.7¢▲ above by 2.3pp
VWAP 7d97.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Matej Dodig price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$99.9K
90¢
$101
85¢
$1.6K
80¢
$1.2K
75¢
$1.6K
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLMatej Dodig$18.9K@ 99.9¢
0xc1acc10x7f61…293d
🐋—2 days ago
SELLMatej Dodig$24.3K@ 99.9¢
0xc1acc10x7f61…293d
🐋—2 days ago
BUYMatej Dodig$15.1K@ 98.0¢
0xc1acc10x7f61…293d
🐋—2 days ago
BUYMatej Dodig$21.2K@ 96.0¢
0xc1acc10x7f61…293d
🐋—2 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xc1acc1Matej Dodig$45.9K
BUY VWAP 96.6¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.