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LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · League of LegendsCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $198.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $321.8KEvent: LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs
100.0¢
LOS
0.1¢
FURIA Esports
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection23Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets16Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:139 trades$146.2K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:FURIA Esports · $7.0K net·9 wallets(1🐋)·$44.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLOS$16.0K@ 100¢·littlelonely777

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

FURIA Esports pressure: $33.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$33.1K
6h
−$26.6K
tracked
$146.2K

9 verified profitable wallets: FURIA Esports · $7.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from FURIA Esports or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "LOS" if LOS win Game 3 against FURIA Esports.

•This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win Game 3 against LOS.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between LOS and FURIA Esports in the CBLOL Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "LOS" if LOS win Game 3 against FURIA Esports. This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win Game 3 against LOS. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 3. If Game 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 24, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xf201…527e5 linked markets · $72.1K gross
five51203 linked markets · $54.5K gross
5e46h3 linked markets · $45.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: LOS UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $6.7K → $428 · 67s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor LOS; negative values favor FURIA Esports. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFURIA Esports · $33.1K
6hFURIA Esports · $26.6K
24hFURIA Esports · $26.6K

LOS price VWAP

Volume-weighted LOS price. FURIA Esports fills are converted to the complementary LOS probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h81.0¢▲ above by 19.0pp
VWAP 7d81.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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LOS price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$92.3K
90¢
$1.8K
85¢
$29
80¢
$1.6K
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$10.2K
45¢
$23.1K
40¢
$15.2K
35¢
$0
30¢
$1.9K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLLOS$13.4K@ 99.9¢0xf201…527e🐋—9 minutes ago
SELLLOS$10.0K@ 99.9¢
five51200xc1c7…f0a7
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLLOS$11.3K@ 99.9¢
sofa888880xa103…1c14
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLOS$16.0K@ 99.9¢
littlelonely7770x5e8e…8212
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

littlelonely777LOS$16.2K
BUY VWAP 98.3¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.