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Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians

● quote 28s ago
Sports→BaseballCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $638.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $360.6KEvent: Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians
43.5¢
Chicago White Sox
56.5¢
Cleveland Guardians
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly34Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:11 trades$156.7K tracked27% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 29 min agoofficial metadata 47s ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYChicago White Sox$64.6K@ 44¢·BrotherObama

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Chicago White Sox pressure: $1.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$1.6K
6h
+$142.9K
tracked
$156.7K

1 verified profitable wallet: Cleveland Guardians · $8.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest accumulation: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 29 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Chicago White Sox or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-18 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for October 10 at 5:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Chicago White Sox@ 44.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Chicago White Sox@ 44.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Chicago White Sox; negative values favor Cleveland Guardians. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hChicago White Sox · $1.6K
6hChicago White Sox · $142.9K
24hChicago White Sox · $129.1K

Chicago White Sox price VWAP

Volume-weighted Chicago White Sox price. Cleveland Guardians fills are converted to the complementary Chicago White Sox probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current43.5¢
VWAP 24h44.0¢▼ below by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d44.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Chicago White Sox price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
← now
$156.7K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYChicago White Sox$50.0K@ 44.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYChicago White Sox$64.6K@ 44.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYChicago White Sox$25.4K@ 44.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

BrotherObamaChicago White Sox$140.0K
BUY VWAP 44.0¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.