PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Samsun: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Carole Monnet

Sports→Settlement: Lucrezia StefaniniLiquidity: $126.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $546.1KEvent: Samsun: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Carole Monnet
100.0¢
Lucrezia Stefanini payout
0.0¢
Carole Monnet payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:83 trades$337.5K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 62%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 54 min agoofficial metadata 17 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Carole Monnet · $21.4K net·11 wallets(1🐋)·$75.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLLucrezia Stefanini$197.2K@ 100¢·0x08a3…8666

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Lucrezia Stefanini. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-12 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Lucrezia Stefanini and Carole Monnet in the Samsun, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucrezia Stefanini' if Lucrezia Stefanini advances against Carole Monnet. This market will resolve to 'Carole Monnet' if Carole Monnet advances against Lucrezia Stefanini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Lucrezia Stefanini1h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Lucrezia Stefanini1h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Lucrezia Stefanini1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Lucrezia Stefanini@ 90.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +7.8pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Carole Monnet UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $13.5K → $12.2K · 14s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Lucrezia Stefanini; negative values favor Carole Monnet. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCarole Monnet · $185.4K
6hCarole Monnet · $174.8K
24hCarole Monnet · $174.8K

Lucrezia Stefanini price VWAP

Volume-weighted Lucrezia Stefanini price. Carole Monnet fills are converted to the complementary Lucrezia Stefanini probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h90.1¢▲ above by 9.9pp
VWAP 7d90.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Lucrezia Stefanini price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$237.4K
90¢
$2.7K
85¢
$5.3K
80¢
$28.5K
75¢
$152
70¢
$700
65¢
$1.7K
60¢
$33.6K
55¢
$10.1K
50¢
$13.6K
45¢
$3.7K
40¢
$104
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLLucrezia Stefanini$197.2K@ 99.9¢0x08a3…8666🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLucrezia Stefanini$10.9K@ 97.9¢
hd7770x986b…bdc6
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYCarole Monnet$14.8K@ 19.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYCarole Monnet$13.6K@ 47.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLucrezia Stefanini$12.7K@ 61.0¢0x08a3…8666🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYCarole Monnet$12.9K@ 37.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
0.1¢$2.8Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
69.5¢$1.2Mpriority58Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
56.5¢$710.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
57.5¢$607.8Kpriority63Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
58.5¢$439.2Kpriority57Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$424.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?
77.5¢$367.9Kpriority72Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Carole Monnet$41.2K
BUY VWAP 29.2¢·3 fills
0x08a3…8666Lucrezia Stefanini$39.3K
BUY VWAP 66.3¢·6 fills
UpTheBluesLucrezia Stefanini$11.8K
BUY VWAP 90.6¢·11 fills
hd777Lucrezia Stefanini$10.9K
BUY VWAP 97.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.