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Will CD Guadalajara vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?

Sports→SoccerSettlement: YESLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $22.6KEvent: CD Guadalajara vs. Tigres de la UANL
100.0¢
YES payout
0.0¢
NO payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:35 trades$1.8K trackedsource coverage 8%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 137 min agoofficial metadata 30 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO · $126 net·5 wallets·$336 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYYES$1.1K@ 30¢·HONGKONGPEACH

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome YES. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-17 23:07 UTC
Event constraint
Mutually exclusive
Resolution source: https://ligamx.net/cancha/partidos
Outcome meaning

•If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 17, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 30m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 30m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Flaznorp3 linked markets · $2.3K gross
UpTheBlues3 linked markets · $614 gross
0xe337…4ad62 linked markets · $466 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYES · $0
6hYES · $963
24hYES · $922

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. NO fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h37.9¢▲ above by 62.1pp
VWAP 7d37.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$138
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$73
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$24
50¢
$14
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$20
30¢
$76
25¢
$1.4K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.