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Wuhan Tennis Open: Sonay Kartal vs Jelena Ostapenko

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $276.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $317.4KEvent: Wuhan Tennis Open: Sonay Kartal vs Jelena Ostapenko
71.5¢
Sonay Kartal
28.5¢
Jelena Ostapenko
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection13Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets50Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority57Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 72%💡 11 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:181 trades$87.8K trackedsource coverage 28%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Sonay Kartal · $8.5K net·11 wallets·$17.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJelena Ostapenko$9.0K@ 64¢·Mambaxbt

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Sonay Kartal SETUP
What the tape says

Sonay Kartal pressure: $11.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$11.0K
6h
−$6.4K
tracked
$87.8K

11 verified profitable wallets: Sonay Kartal · $8.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 72% · priority 57

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Sonay Kartal or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-24 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Sonay Kartal and Jelena Ostapenko in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sonay Kartal' if Sonay Kartal advances against Jelena Ostapenko. This market will resolve to 'Jelena Ostapenko' if Jelena Ostapenko advances against Sonay Kartal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe907…cff62 linked markets · $50 gross
0xf020…20f52 linked markets · $12 gross
0x000000000000000000000000000000000000002 linked markets · $12 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Sonay Kartal UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $34.4K → $50.0K · 11s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Sonay Kartal; negative values favor Jelena Ostapenko. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSonay Kartal · $11.0K
6hJelena Ostapenko · $6.4K
24hJelena Ostapenko · $1.5K

Sonay Kartal price VWAP

Volume-weighted Sonay Kartal price. Jelena Ostapenko fills are converted to the complementary Sonay Kartal probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current71.5¢
VWAP 24h54.6¢▲ above by 16.9pp
VWAP 7d54.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Sonay Kartal price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
← now
$11.0K
65¢
$8.6K
60¢
$9.2K
55¢
$17.9K
50¢
$18.3K
45¢
$8.5K
40¢
$863
35¢
$11.3K
30¢
$301
25¢
$1.9K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set 1 Winner: Sonay Kartal vs Jelena Ostapenko
0.0¢$2.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Sonay Kartal vs Jelena Ostapenko
0.0¢$2.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Sonay Kartal (-1.5) vs Jelena Ostapenko (+1.5)
0.0¢$1.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kartal vs. Ostapenko: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢$1.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sonay Kartal vs. Jelena Ostapenko: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢$418priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Sonay Kartal (-1.5) vs Jelena Ostapenko (+1.5)
0.0¢$195priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kartal vs. Ostapenko: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢$100priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kartal vs. Ostapenko: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢$6priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

KkunnJelena Ostapenko$10.3K
BUY VWAP 42.3¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.