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LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner

● quote 9 min ago
Sports→Esports · League of LegendsCloses: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $179.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $476.8KEvent: LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
0.1¢
GAM Esports
99.9¢
FlyQuest
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection18Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets56Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:175 trades$220.4K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 26 min agoofficial metadata 10 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:FlyQuest · $27.9K net·8 wallets(2🐋)·$50.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLFlyQuest$33.4K@ 100¢·five5120

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

GAM Esports pressure: $39.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$39.7K
6h
−$20.2K
tracked
$220.4K

8 verified profitable wallets: FlyQuest · $27.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 77% · priority 0

Since latest liquidity absorption: +7.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 9 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 26 minutes old.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from GAM Esports or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-07 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "GAM Esports" if GAM Esports win Game 2 against FlyQuest.

•This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win Game 2 against GAM Esports.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Round 3 match between GAM Esports and FlyQuest in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "GAM Esports" if GAM Esports win Game 2 against FlyQuest. This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win Game 2 against GAM Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 21, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 7, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
five51202 linked markets · $64.4K gross
Sisyphus.2 linked markets · $28.2K gross
bluemol2 linked markets · $17.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY FlyQuest@ 93.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY FlyQuest@ 90.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +6.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPBUY FlyQuest@ 90.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +6.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY FlyQuest1h ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: FlyQuest UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $16.3K → $8.7K · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor GAM Esports; negative values favor FlyQuest. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGAM Esports · $39.7K
6hFlyQuest · $20.2K
24hFlyQuest · $20.2K

GAM Esports price VWAP

Volume-weighted GAM Esports price. FlyQuest fills are converted to the complementary GAM Esports probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h14.1¢▼ below by 14.0pp
VWAP 7d14.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

GAM Esports price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$1.2K
30¢
$23.3K
25¢
$40.4K
20¢
$39.8K
15¢
$0
10¢
$24.1K
5¢
$5.4K
0¢
← now
$86.1K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLFlyQuest$33.4K@ 99.9¢
five51200xc1c7…f0a7
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYFlyQuest$15.9K@ 76.0¢
ipop000x8fbb…9a17
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYFlyQuest$13.0K@ 76.5¢
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYFlyQuest$10.5K@ 68.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fkcvffcjtFlyQuest$17.4K
BUY VWAP 70.2¢·3 fills
ipop00FlyQuest$15.9K
BUY VWAP 76.0¢·1 fill
Sunshine.SmileFlyQuest$13.0K
BUY VWAP 76.5¢·1 fill
johnbasterFlyQuest$12.3K
BUY VWAP 71.4¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.