Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-10-18?

● quote just now
Sports→SoccerCloses: 43 minutesLiquidity: $49.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $213.7KEvent: FC Cincinnati vs. Columbus Crew
23.5¢
YES
76.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100direction7wallets56execution84priority55data 73%💡 6 smart
24h sample:68 trades$65.0K trackedsource coverage 30%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES · $32.6K net·6 wallets·$58.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNO$8.6K@ 62¢·OhWhenTheReds

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW NO SETUP
What the tape says

NO pressure: $4.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$4.6K
6h
+$31.6K
tracked
$65.0K

6 verified profitable wallets: YES · $32.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 55

Since latest large flow: -19.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-18 21:00 UTC
Event constraint
Mutually exclusive
Outcome meaning

•If FC Cincinnati wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 18, 2026 If FC Cincinnati wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
UpTheBlues3 linked markets · $73.7K gross
OhWhenTheReds2 linked markets · $38.6K gross
Flaznorp3 linked markets · $16.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY YES@ 43.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -19.0pp
Latest book event: NO DOWN 2.5pp · near-book depth $10.3K → $208 · 19s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Lifecycleresolving

Signed Order Flow

1hNO · $4.6K
6hYES · $31.6K
24hYES · $31.6K

YES price VWAP

Current23.5¢
VWAP 24h37.8¢▼ below by 14.3pp
VWAP 7d37.8¢
Largest observed holders

Largest holders

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YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$1.4K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$12.5K
35¢
$51.1K
30¢
$0
25¢
$1
20¢
← now
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

UpTheBluesYes$32.4K
BUY VWAP 37.2¢·21 fills
FlaznorpYes$12.5K
BUY VWAP 36.0¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.