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Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 1WIN (+1.5)

Sports→Settlement: 1WINLiquidity: $135.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $78.6KEvent: Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
0.0¢
Spirit payout
100.0¢
1WIN payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:10 trades$23.8K trackedsource coverage 31%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 168 min agoofficial metadata 18 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSpirit$9.9K@ 64¢·kahe

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome 1WIN. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-06 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit wins 2 or more maps than 1WIN in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "1WIN".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Spirit and 1WIN in the ESL Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit wins 2 or more maps than 1WIN in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "1WIN". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 6, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x9e3e…f8823 linked markets · $72.1K gross
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f3 linked markets · $34.3K gross
TommyLeePeeca2 linked markets · $20.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Spirit; negative values favor 1WIN. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSpirit · $18.0K
6hSpirit · $19.0K
24hSpirit · $20.8K

Spirit price VWAP

Volume-weighted Spirit price. 1WIN fills are converted to the complementary Spirit probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h61.1¢▼ below by 61.1pp
VWAP 7d61.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Spirit price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$17.4K
55¢
$0
50¢
$1.2K
45¢
$0
40¢
$2.2K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$3.0K

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.