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Counter-Strike: NIP vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group A

● quote 12 min ago
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $17.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $53.0KEvent: Counter-Strike: NIP vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group A
68.5¢
NIP
31.5¢
Betclic Apogee Esports
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection69Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 90%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:30 trades$16.7K trackedsource coverage unavailableBUY/SELL known 100%
tape 12 min agoofficial metadata 22s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NIP · $1.3K net·2 wallets·$1.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNIP$4.0K@ 78¢·0xc74e…e725

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NIP pressure: $11.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$11.6K
6h
+$15.7K
tracked
$16.7K

2 verified profitable wallets: NIP · $1.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 90% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 12 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 12 minutes old.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NIP or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-12 16:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "NIP" if NIP win the match against Betclic Apogee Esports.

•This market will resolve to "Betclic Apogee Esports" if Betclic Apogee Esports win the match against NIP.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Opening match between NIP and Betclic Apogee Esports in the Stake Pulse Beat III Group A, initially scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "NIP" if NIP win the match against Betclic Apogee Esports. This market will resolve to "Betclic Apogee Esports" if Betclic Apogee Esports win the match against NIP. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 12, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 2h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xc74e…e7252 linked markets · $6.6K gross
aaaa2983 linked markets · $3.6K gross
RN12 linked markets · $3.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: NIP DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $152 → $380 · 29s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor NIP; negative values favor Betclic Apogee Esports. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNIP · $11.6K
6hNIP · $15.7K
24hNIP · $15.7K

NIP price VWAP

Volume-weighted NIP price. Betclic Apogee Esports fills are converted to the complementary NIP probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current68.5¢
VWAP 24h76.0¢▼ below by 7.5pp
VWAP 7d75.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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NIP price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$751
90¢
$411
85¢
$2
80¢
$527
75¢
$9.3K
70¢
$3.6K
65¢
← now
$4.4K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: NIP vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 2 Winner
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Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
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Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Betclic Apogee Esports (+3.5)
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Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Betclic Apogee Esports (+3.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5
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Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-6.5) vs Betclic Apogee Esports (+6.5)
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.