PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

New Mexico vs. Hawai'i

Sports→American FootballCloses: about 8 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $11.8KEvent: New Mexico vs. Hawai'i
0.0¢
New Mexico
0.0¢
Hawaii
0.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 71%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:3 trades$9.9K trackedsource coverage 84%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 218 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:New Mexico · $9.9K net·2 wallets·$9.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNew Mexico$5.6K@ 85¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$9.9K
tracked
$9.9K

2 verified profitable wallets: New Mexico · $9.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 71% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 218 minutes old.
  • •Less than 8h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-18 02:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "New Mexico" if New Mexico win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Hawai'i" if Hawai'i win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between New Mexico and Hawai'i, scheduled for October 17 at 10:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "New Mexico" if New Mexico win the game. This market will resolve to "Hawai'i" if Hawai'i win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $13.7K gross
mooseborzoii2 linked markets · $1.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor New Mexico; negative values favor Hawaii. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNew Mexico · $0
6hNew Mexico · $9.9K
24hNew Mexico · $9.9K

New Mexico price VWAP

Volume-weighted New Mexico price. Hawaii fills are converted to the complementary New Mexico probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h85.0¢▼ below by NaNpp
VWAP 7d85.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

New Mexico price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$9.9K
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: New Mexico (-14.5)
0.0¢$7.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
New Mexico vs. Hawai'i: O/U 45.5
0.0¢$4.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: New Mexico (-15.5)
0.0¢$41priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: New Mexico (-16.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: New Mexico (-17.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: New Mexico (-20.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: New Mexico (-8.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: New Mexico (-7.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.