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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Dalibor Svrcina

● quote 16s ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $904.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $927.2KEvent: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Dalibor Svrcina
0.1¢
Cameron Norrie
100.0¢
Dalibor Svrcina
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection8Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets22Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:260 trades$359.3K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Dalibor Svrcina · $21.1K net·10 wallets(1🐋)·$95.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDalibor Svrcina$25.4K@ 39¢·Eztennis

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Dalibor Svrcina pressure: $30.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$30.5K
6h
+$57.6K
tracked
$359.3K

10 verified profitable wallets: Dalibor Svrcina · $21.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: -57.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Dalibor Svrcina or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-15 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Cameron Norrie and Dalibor Svrcina in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cameron Norrie' if Cameron Norrie advances against Dalibor Svrcina. This market will resolve to 'Dalibor Svrcina' if Dalibor Svrcina advances against Cameron Norrie. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Cameron Norrie57m ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Cameron Norrie@ 58.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +9.0pp
Latest book event: Cameron Norrie DOWN 6.0pp · near-book depth $5.6K → $9 · 8s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cameron Norrie; negative values favor Dalibor Svrcina. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDalibor Svrcina · $30.5K
6hCameron Norrie · $57.6K
24hCameron Norrie · $55.6K

Cameron Norrie price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cameron Norrie price. Dalibor Svrcina fills are converted to the complementary Cameron Norrie probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h47.6¢▼ below by 47.5pp
VWAP 7d47.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Cameron Norrie price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$7.8K
70¢
$7.3K
65¢
$39.7K
60¢
$97.0K
55¢
$26.4K
50¢
$24.1K
45¢
$9.6K
40¢
$9.3K
35¢
$35.1K
30¢
$42.5K
25¢
$30.5K
20¢
$260
15¢
$4.4K
10¢
$5.5K
5¢
$15.7K
0¢
← now
$4.3K

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYDalibor Svrcina$11.0K@ 92.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—12 minutes ago
BUYDalibor Svrcina$25.4K@ 39.3¢
Eztennis0x4be1…aa70
🐋—31 minutes ago
BUYDalibor Svrcina$10.6K@ 40.0¢
Eztennis0x4be1…aa70
🐋—31 minutes ago
BUYCameron Norrie$19.9K@ 31.1¢0x760f…326a🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

EztennisDalibor Svrcina$39.5K
BUY VWAP 39.7¢·3 fills
0x760f…326aCameron Norrie$19.9K
BUY VWAP 31.1¢·1 fill
HomeRunHazardCameron Norrie$17.4K
BUY VWAP 45.5¢·7 fills
0000.Cameron Norrie$16.0K
BUY VWAP 64.0¢·3 fills
UpTheBluesDalibor Svrcina$15.5K
BUY VWAP 55.3¢·5 fills
HomeRunHazardDalibor Svrcina$13.9K
BUY VWAP 64.8¢·4 fills
jtwyslljyCameron Norrie$12.8K
BUY VWAP 39.5¢·5 fills
LightParadoxDalibor Svrcina$12.1K
BUY VWAP 65.0¢·2 fills
one8tyfiveCameron Norrie$12.1K
BUY VWAP 59.4¢·3 fills
Yellow-FeverCameron Norrie$11.6K
BUY VWAP 35.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.