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Antofagasta: Nick Hardt vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

Sports→TennisSettlement: Felipe Meligeni AlvesLiquidity: $137.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $230.3KEvent: Antofagasta: Nick Hardt vs Felipe Meligeni Alves
0.0¢
Nick Hardt payout
100.0¢
Felipe Meligeni Alves payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:80 trades$76.9K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 33%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 40 min agoofficial metadata 7 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Felipe Meligeni Alves · $14.2K net·5 wallets·$14.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLFelipe Meligeni Alves$19.2K@ 100¢·kkookkoo

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Felipe Meligeni Alves. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-14 19:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Nick Hardt and Felipe Meligeni Alves in the Antofagasta, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nick Hardt' if Nick Hardt advances against Felipe Meligeni Alves. This market will resolve to 'Felipe Meligeni Alves' if Felipe Meligeni Alves advances against Nick Hardt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 23m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 23m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Felipe Meligeni Alves@ 99.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Felipe Meligeni Alves UP 3.3pp · near-book depth $17.1K → $329 · 4s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Nick Hardt; negative values favor Felipe Meligeni Alves. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNick Hardt · $12.2K
6hFelipe Meligeni Alves · $2.9K
24hFelipe Meligeni Alves · $2.9K

Nick Hardt price VWAP

Volume-weighted Nick Hardt price. Felipe Meligeni Alves fills are converted to the complementary Nick Hardt probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h13.6¢▼ below by 13.6pp
VWAP 7d13.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Nick Hardt price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$21.9K
25¢
$16
20¢
$4.8K
15¢
$5.6K
10¢
$4.7K
5¢
$4.0K
0¢
← now
$35.9K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLFelipe Meligeni Alves$19.2K@ 99.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYFelipe Meligeni Alves$13.0K@ 67.5¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kkookkooFelipe Meligeni Alves$13.0K
BUY VWAP 67.5¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.