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Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon

Sports→TennisSettlement: Lautaro MidonLiquidity: $1.5MOfficial 24h Vol: $667.1KEvent: Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon
0.0¢
Joaquin Aguilar payout
100.0¢
Lautaro Midon payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:204 trades$273.3K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 53 min agoofficial metadata 25 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Joaquin Aguilar · $57 net·10 wallets·$8.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJoaquin Aguilar$14.8K@ 48¢·kkookkoo

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Lautaro Midon. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-15 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Joaquin Aguilar and Lautaro Midon in the Antofagasta, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joaquin Aguilar' if Joaquin Aguilar advances against Lautaro Midon. This market will resolve to 'Lautaro Midon' if Lautaro Midon advances against Joaquin Aguilar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 25m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 25m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASESELL Joaquin Aguilar2h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPSELL Joaquin Aguilar@ 83.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +77.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Joaquin Aguilar2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Joaquin Aguilar@ 57.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -52.0pp
Latest book event: Lautaro Midon UP 5.5pp · near-book depth $1.4K → $5.3K · 2s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Joaquin Aguilar; negative values favor Lautaro Midon. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJoaquin Aguilar · $15.4K
6hJoaquin Aguilar · $16.4K
24hJoaquin Aguilar · $16.4K

Joaquin Aguilar price VWAP

Volume-weighted Joaquin Aguilar price. Lautaro Midon fills are converted to the complementary Joaquin Aguilar probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h53.5¢▼ below by 53.5pp
VWAP 7d53.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Joaquin Aguilar price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$6
90¢
$5.0K
85¢
$22.7K
80¢
$4
75¢
$31.2K
70¢
$14.4K
65¢
$3.9K
60¢
$19.4K
55¢
$29.7K
50¢
$43.0K
45¢
$32.0K
40¢
$20.2K
35¢
$8.9K
30¢
$1.8K
25¢
$10.3K
20¢
$2.0K
15¢
$4.5K
10¢
$5.0K
5¢
$2.6K
0¢
← now
$16.5K

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLautaro Midon$13.2K@ 51.0¢
Polyplayer140xba76…e0d7
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLLautaro Midon$14.0K@ 49.0¢
Polyplayer140xba76…e0d7
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLautaro Midon$11.5K@ 40.2¢
Polyplayer140xba76…e0d7
🐋—about 2 hours ago
SELLJoaquin Aguilar$12.1K@ 76.3¢
Polyplayer140xba76…e0d7
🐋—about 2 hours ago
SELLJoaquin Aguilar$11.6K@ 86.1¢
Luzzzer0x2180…08f0
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYJoaquin Aguilar$11.7K@ 74.0¢
Polyplayer140xba76…e0d7
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYJoaquin Aguilar$14.8K@ 47.5¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYJoaquin Aguilar$10.3K@ 79.0¢
MilesY0x9a8c…ba13
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYJoaquin Aguilar$12.8K@ 53.3¢
Luzzzer0x2180…08f0
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Polyplayer14Lautaro Midon$24.6K
BUY VWAP 45.3¢·2 fills
MilesYJoaquin Aguilar$20.5K
BUY VWAP 68.0¢·3 fills
kkookkooJoaquin Aguilar$18.1K
BUY VWAP 48.1¢·2 fills
LuzzzerJoaquin Aguilar$12.8K
BUY VWAP 53.3¢·1 fill
Polyplayer14Joaquin Aguilar$11.7K
BUY VWAP 74.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.