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Palermo: Massimo Giunta vs Alejandro Moro Canas

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $272.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $519.9KEvent: Palermo: Massimo Giunta vs Alejandro Moro Canas
44.5¢
Massimo Giunta
55.5¢
Alejandro Moro Canas
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection30Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority59Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:112 trades$201.3K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 18s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Massimo Giunta · $8.6K net·8 wallets·$17.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAlejandro Moro Canas$40.0K@ 69¢·0x17c4…2471

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Alejandro Moro Canas SETUP
What the tape says

Alejandro Moro Canas pressure: $53.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$53.1K
6h
−$20.7K
tracked
$201.3K

8 verified profitable wallets: Massimo Giunta · $8.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 84% · priority 59

Since latest large flow: -13.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Alejandro Moro Canas or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-16 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Massimo Giunta and Alejandro Moro Canas in the Palermo, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Massimo Giunta' if Massimo Giunta advances against Alejandro Moro Canas. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Moro Canas' if Alejandro Moro Canas advances against Massimo Giunta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASESELL Massimo Giunta34m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASESELL Massimo Giunta35m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Alejandro Moro Canas35m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Alejandro Moro Canas@ 69.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -8.0pp
Latest book event: Massimo Giunta UP 5.5pp · near-book depth $0 → $76 · 4s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Massimo Giunta; negative values favor Alejandro Moro Canas. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlejandro Moro Canas · $53.1K
6hAlejandro Moro Canas · $20.7K
24hAlejandro Moro Canas · $20.7K

Massimo Giunta price VWAP

Volume-weighted Massimo Giunta price. Alejandro Moro Canas fills are converted to the complementary Massimo Giunta probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current44.5¢
VWAP 24h39.7¢▲ above by 4.8pp
VWAP 7d39.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Massimo Giunta price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$2.6K
70¢
$4.5K
65¢
$6.9K
60¢
$8.6K
55¢
$19.7K
50¢
$156
45¢
$25.5K
40¢
← now
$19.6K
35¢
$15.0K
30¢
$75.0K
25¢
$7.5K
20¢
$7.2K
15¢
$8.9K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAlejandro Moro Canas$40.0K@ 69.3¢0x17c4…2471🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLMassimo Giunta$26.4K@ 35.0¢0x17c4…2471🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMassimo Giunta$21.7K@ 48.6¢0x17c4…2471🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMassimo Giunta$18.3K@ 59.3¢0x17c4…2471🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x17c4…2471Alejandro Moro Canas$40.0K
BUY VWAP 69.3¢·1 fill
0x17c4…2471Massimo Giunta$40.0K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·2 fills
MilesYMassimo Giunta$11.0K
BUY VWAP 37.9¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.