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Counter-Strike: fnatic vs K27 (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeSettlement: fnaticLiquidity: $188.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $370.3KEvent: Counter-Strike: fnatic vs K27 (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
100.0¢
fnatic payout
0.0¢
K27 payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:166 trades$126.7K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 35 min agoofficial metadata 9 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:K27 · $13.3K net·9 wallets·$18.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYK27$20.0K@ 50¢·basementdweller3000

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome fnatic. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-09 21:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "fnatic" if fnatic win the match against K27.

•This market will resolve to "K27" if K27 win the match against fnatic.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between fnatic and K27 in the 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "fnatic" if fnatic win the match against K27. This market will resolve to "K27" if K27 win the match against fnatic. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 23, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 9, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
aaaa2982 linked markets · $19.4K gross
RN12 linked markets · $7.3K gross
iii2522 linked markets · $4.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY K27@ 50.0¢8h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +1.0pp6h CONFIRMED +13.0pp
Latest book event: fnatic UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $3.8K → $4.3K · 3s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor fnatic; negative values favor K27. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hK27 · $27.0K
6hK27 · $6.4K
24hK27 · $56.0K

fnatic price VWAP

Volume-weighted fnatic price. K27 fills are converted to the complementary fnatic probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h65.1¢▲ above by 34.9pp
VWAP 7d65.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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fnatic price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$28.7K
90¢
$0
85¢
$5.3K
80¢
$10.5K
75¢
$218
70¢
$3.1K
65¢
$1.2K
60¢
$2.6K
55¢
$11.4K
50¢
$53.5K
45¢
$307
40¢
$382
35¢
$1.2K
30¢
$19
25¢
$3.5K
20¢
$3.3K
15¢
$1.0K
10¢
$505
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLfnatic$18.5K@ 99.9¢
coinlaundry0xe8d7…1252
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYK27$20.0K@ 50.0¢
basementdweller30000x5e6e…be00
🐋—about 8 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

basementdweller3000K27$20.0K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill
0x29b5…cc6cK27$14.6K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·6 fills
coinlaundryfnatic$12.3K
BUY VWAP 83.1¢·9 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.