PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Roman Safiullin

● quote 16s ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 8 daysLiquidity: $121.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $521.7KEvent: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Roman Safiullin
99.9¢
Francisco Cerundolo
0.1¢
Roman Safiullin
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection5Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets48Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:156 trades$215.8K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Francisco Cerundolo · $12.5K net·12 wallets·$26.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFrancisco Cerundolo$28.2K@ 64¢·xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Roman Safiullin pressure: $11.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$11.2K
6h
−$33.7K
tracked
$215.8K

12 verified profitable wallets: Francisco Cerundolo · $12.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +38.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 38.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Roman Safiullin or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-17 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Francisco Cerundolo and Roman Safiullin in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Cerundolo' if Francisco Cerundolo advances against Roman Safiullin. This market will resolve to 'Roman Safiullin' if Roman Safiullin advances against Francisco Cerundolo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Francisco Cerundolo1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Francisco Cerundolo@ 62.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +10.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Roman Safiullin@ 36.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -6.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPBUY Francisco Cerundolo@ 71.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Francisco Cerundolo UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $16.5K → $23.8K · 10s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Francisco Cerundolo; negative values favor Roman Safiullin. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRoman Safiullin · $11.2K
6hRoman Safiullin · $33.7K
24hRoman Safiullin · $32.9K

Francisco Cerundolo price VWAP

Volume-weighted Francisco Cerundolo price. Roman Safiullin fills are converted to the complementary Francisco Cerundolo probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h63.1¢▲ above by 36.8pp
VWAP 7d63.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Francisco Cerundolo price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$21.7K
90¢
$7.9K
85¢
$330
80¢
$0
75¢
$3.4K
70¢
$2.3K
65¢
$11.4K
60¢
$50.2K
55¢
$49.5K
50¢
$43.3K
45¢
$25.7K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYFrancisco Cerundolo$28.2K@ 64.0¢
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase0x5bfe…3258
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYFrancisco Cerundolo$16.4K@ 63.0¢
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase0x5bfe…3258
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYRoman Safiullin$20.0K@ 48.6¢0x760f…326a🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYRoman Safiullin$10.7K@ 51.0¢
Luzzzer0x2180…08f0
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz
32.5¢$723.6Kpriority46Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs
4.5¢$585.3Kpriority45Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$424.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
41.5¢$406.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery
74.5¢$402.6Kpriority65Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$307.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$305.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjaseFrancisco Cerundolo$48.1K
BUY VWAP 63.5¢·3 fills
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjaseRoman Safiullin$32.1K
BUY VWAP 43.5¢·9 fills
0x760f…326aRoman Safiullin$20.0K
BUY VWAP 48.6¢·1 fill
LuzzzerRoman Safiullin$19.4K
BUY VWAP 46.0¢·2 fills
UpTheBluesFrancisco Cerundolo$12.6K
BUY VWAP 82.7¢·7 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.