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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $186.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.2MEvent: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti
39.5¢
Yi Zhou
60.5¢
Lorenzo Musetti
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection58Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets26Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority65Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 13 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:162 trades$521.6K tracked8% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Yi Zhou · $16.3K net·13 wallets·$62.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLorenzo Musetti$46.8K@ 49¢·Eztennis

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Lorenzo Musetti SETUP
What the tape says

Lorenzo Musetti pressure: $303.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$303.6K
6h
−$369.1K
tracked
$521.6K

13 verified profitable wallets: Yi Zhou · $16.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 65

Since latest liquidity absorption: -4.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Lorenzo Musetti or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-17 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Yi Zhou and Lorenzo Musetti in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yi Zhou' if Yi Zhou advances against Lorenzo Musetti. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against Yi Zhou. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Lorenzo Musetti@ 65.0¢6m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Lorenzo Musetti35m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Lorenzo Musetti35m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Lorenzo Musetti35m ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Yi Zhou UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $29.0K → $31.3K · 4s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Yi Zhou; negative values favor Lorenzo Musetti. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLorenzo Musetti · $303.6K
6hLorenzo Musetti · $369.1K
24hLorenzo Musetti · $366.9K

Yi Zhou price VWAP

Volume-weighted Yi Zhou price. Lorenzo Musetti fills are converted to the complementary Yi Zhou probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current39.5¢
VWAP 24h44.0¢▼ below by 4.5pp
VWAP 7d43.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Yi Zhou price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$1.4K
60¢
$7.2K
55¢
$8.5K
50¢
$136.5K
45¢
$264.4K
40¢
$2.0K
35¢
← now
$2.5K
30¢
$8.9K
25¢
$33.1K
20¢
$26.7K
15¢
$548
10¢
$35.2K
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLorenzo Musetti$35.2K@ 86.4¢
Lorolorota090x3622…3fac
🐋—17 minutes ago
BUYLorenzo Musetti$10.0K@ 76.0¢
hurrican0x8718…5040
🐋—33 minutes ago
BUYLorenzo Musetti$17.5K@ 52.0¢
crazyoddslover0x49f2…506a
🐋—42 minutes ago
BUYLorenzo Musetti$25.9K@ 51.9¢
crazyoddslover0x49f2…506a
🐋—43 minutes ago
BUYLorenzo Musetti$27.6K@ 53.8¢
crazyoddslover0x49f2…506a
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLorenzo Musetti$43.7K@ 50.3¢
crazyoddslover0x49f2…506a
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLorenzo Musetti$25.7K@ 51.9¢
crazyoddslover0x49f2…506a
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLorenzo Musetti$38.2K@ 51.7¢
crazyoddslover0x49f2…506a
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLorenzo Musetti$29.5K@ 53.3¢
crazyoddslover0x49f2…506a
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLorenzo Musetti$19.5K@ 54.5¢
Eztennis0x4be1…aa70
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLorenzo Musetti$46.8K@ 48.7¢
Eztennis0x4be1…aa70
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLorenzo Musetti$18.1K@ 50.0¢
Eztennis0x4be1…aa70
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLorenzo Musetti$18.3K@ 49.1¢0x760f…326a🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

crazyoddsloverLorenzo Musetti$208.2K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·7 fills
EztennisLorenzo Musetti$84.3K
BUY VWAP 50.2¢·3 fills
Lorolorota09Lorenzo Musetti$35.2K
BUY VWAP 86.4¢·1 fill
0x760f…326aLorenzo Musetti$18.3K
BUY VWAP 49.1¢·1 fill
UpTheBluesYi Zhou$15.6K
BUY VWAP 41.6¢·13 fills
hurricanLorenzo Musetti$10.0K
BUY VWAP 76.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.