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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · Dota 2Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $114.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $221.8KEvent: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
59.5¢
Team Spirit
40.5¢
Aurora
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection19Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets64Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority64Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 89%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:130 trades$125.0K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 56%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Team Spirit · $2.1K net·8 wallets·$3.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Spirit$11.0K@ 85¢·darkmarketmaker

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Team Spirit SETUP
What the tape says

Team Spirit pressure: $23.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$23.3K
6h
+$55.2K
tracked
$125.0K

8 verified profitable wallets: Team Spirit · $2.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 89% · priority 64

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Team Spirit or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-09 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win the match against Aurora.

•This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against Team Spirit.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Semifinal 2 match between Team Spirit and Aurora in the BLAST Slam Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win the match against Aurora. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against Team Spirit. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 23, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 9, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
MedoD3P2 linked markets · $59.8K gross
Iztamox3 linked markets · $49.8K gross
0xe16d…5e302 linked markets · $49.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Team Spirit DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $8.8K → $10.2K · 42s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team Spirit; negative values favor Aurora. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Spirit · $23.3K
6hTeam Spirit · $55.2K
24hTeam Spirit · $74.5K

Team Spirit price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team Spirit price. Aurora fills are converted to the complementary Team Spirit probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current59.5¢
VWAP 24h67.2¢▼ below by 7.7pp
VWAP 7d67.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Team Spirit price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$14.6K
80¢
$2.8K
75¢
$1.2K
70¢
$6.0K
65¢
$48.9K
60¢
$21.0K
55¢
← now
$30.4K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTeam Spirit$10.7K@ 60.0¢0xe98b…5905🐋—9 minutes ago
BUYTeam Spirit$11.0K@ 85.0¢
darkmarketmaker0x3746…c193
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xeaa2…670eTeam Spirit$14.0K
BUY VWAP 65.7¢·3 fills
TrippleEXTeam Spirit$13.0K
BUY VWAP 68.3¢·3 fills
darkmarketmakerTeam Spirit$11.0K
BUY VWAP 85.0¢·1 fill
0xe98b…5905Team Spirit$10.7K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.