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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Rafael Jodar

Sports→TennisSettlement: Rafael JodarLiquidity: $146.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $335.5KEvent: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Rafael Jodar
0.0¢
Thiago Agustin Tirante payout
100.0¢
Rafael Jodar payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:137 trades$106.9K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 44 min agoofficial metadata 29 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Thiago Agustin Tirante · $14.4K net·10 wallets(1🐋)·$46.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYRafael Jodar$13.5K@ 68¢·ferrariChampions2026

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Rafael Jodar. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-17 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Rafael Jodar in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Rafael Jodar. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 30m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 30m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Thiago Agustin Tirante@ 59.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -15.0pp1h INVALIDATED -19.0pp
Latest book event: Thiago Agustin Tirante DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $3.3K → $122 · 11s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Thiago Agustin Tirante; negative values favor Rafael Jodar. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hThiago Agustin Tirante · $22.8K
6hThiago Agustin Tirante · $50.0K
24hThiago Agustin Tirante · $36.8K

Thiago Agustin Tirante price VWAP

Volume-weighted Thiago Agustin Tirante price. Rafael Jodar fills are converted to the complementary Thiago Agustin Tirante probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h35.5¢▼ below by 35.5pp
VWAP 7d35.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Thiago Agustin Tirante price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$9.5K
60¢
$7.1K
55¢
$8.6K
50¢
$3.2K
45¢
$14.3K
40¢
$5.0K
35¢
$3.8K
30¢
$30.5K
25¢
$1.6K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$110
0¢
← now
$23.2K

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYRafael Jodar$13.5K@ 68.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 9 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

UpTheBluesThiago Agustin Tirante$21.6K
BUY VWAP 61.2¢·12 fills
ferrariChampions2026Rafael Jodar$13.5K
BUY VWAP 68.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.