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Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)

● quote 1 min ago
Sports→Esports · Dota 2Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $61.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $7.1KEvent: Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
75.0¢
PARIVISION
99.9¢
Team Yandex
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection10Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution86Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:22 trades$20.6K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 37 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Yandex$10.0K@ 65¢·fantasy7788

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Team Yandex pressure: $2.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$2.1K
6h
−$20.4K
tracked
$20.6K

1 verified profitable wallet: Team Yandex · $72 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 37 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Team Yandex or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-08 22:50 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION wins 2 or more games than Team Yandex in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Team Yandex".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Semifinal 1 match between PARIVISION and Team Yandex in the BLAST Slam Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION wins 2 or more games than Team Yandex in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Team Yandex". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 22, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 8, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 3h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe16d…5e303 linked markets · $82.0K gross
0xf201…527e3 linked markets · $80.5K gross
Sunshine.Smile3 linked markets · $54.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Team Yandex DOWN 6.5pp · near-book depth $25 → $20 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor PARIVISION; negative values favor Team Yandex. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Yandex · $2.1K
6hTeam Yandex · $20.4K
24hTeam Yandex · $20.4K

PARIVISION price VWAP

Volume-weighted PARIVISION price. Team Yandex fills are converted to the complementary PARIVISION probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current75.0¢
VWAP 24h32.9¢▲ above by 42.1pp
VWAP 7d32.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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PARIVISION price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$9
80¢
$0
75¢
← now
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$34
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$8.3K
30¢
$10.1K
25¢
$6
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$2.1K
5¢
$0
0¢
$133

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTeam Yandex$10.0K@ 65.3¢
fantasy77880x0259…769e
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fantasy7788Team Yandex$10.0K
BUY VWAP 65.3¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.