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Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · ValorantCloses: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $79.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $793.9KEvent: Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs
12.5¢
G2 Esports
87.5¢
Team Vitality
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets63Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution90Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority58Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:134 trades$357.1K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:G2 Esports · $29.4K net·10 wallets(1🐋)·$46.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYG2 Esports$60.0K@ 54¢·fantasy7788

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Team Vitality pressure: $9.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$9.0K
6h
+$16.5K
tracked
$357.1K

10 verified profitable wallets: G2 Esports · $29.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 58

Since latest position change: +34.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 34.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Team Vitality or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://vlr.gg
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win the match against Team Vitality.

•This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win the match against G2 Esports.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Valorant Upper Bracket Semifinal 1 match between G2 Esports and Team Vitality in the VCT Champions Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win the match against Team Vitality. This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win the match against G2 Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 24, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 10, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
fantasy77882 linked markets · $62.5K gross
0x076d…8d4c2 linked markets · $36.3K gross
xytest3 linked markets · $12.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Team Vitality1h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Team Vitality1h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Team Vitality1h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Team Vitality1h ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Team Vitality DOWN 3.0pp · near-book depth $20.1K → $1.3K · 10s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor G2 Esports; negative values favor Team Vitality. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Vitality · $9.0K
6hG2 Esports · $16.5K
24hG2 Esports · $39.7K

G2 Esports price VWAP

Volume-weighted G2 Esports price. Team Vitality fills are converted to the complementary G2 Esports probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current12.5¢
VWAP 24h51.3¢▼ below by 38.8pp
VWAP 7d51.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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G2 Esports price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$327.6K
45¢
$1.7K
40¢
$48
35¢
$453
30¢
$4.9K
25¢
$16.9K
20¢
$16
15¢
$5.4K
10¢
← now
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYG2 Esports$60.0K@ 54.0¢
fantasy77880x0259…769e
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYTeam Vitality$23.5K@ 47.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYG2 Esports$33.2K@ 54.0¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYTeam Vitality$18.8K@ 47.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYG2 Esports$21.0K@ 53.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYTeam Vitality$39.3K@ 47.0¢
WhattDoyoumean0x8660…93ed
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYTeam Vitality$16.6K@ 47.0¢
qiu30x7f73…14f1
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYG2 Esports$40.0K@ 54.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYG2 Esports$11.1K@ 53.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 9 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Diabolical-PrizeTeam Vitality$72.4K
BUY VWAP 49.1¢·7 fills
BrotherObamaG2 Esports$61.0K
BUY VWAP 53.7¢·2 fills
fantasy7788G2 Esports$60.0K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill
WhattDoyoumeanTeam Vitality$39.3K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·1 fill
0x076d…8d4cG2 Esports$33.2K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill
qiu3Team Vitality$16.6K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·1 fill
Lakersfan111G2 Esports$11.1K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.