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LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · League of LegendsCloses: about 11 hoursLiquidity: $195.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $245.0KEvent: LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs
67.5¢
BNK FEARX
32.5¢
JD Gaming
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 63%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:47 trades$123.6K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 50%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 33 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBNK FEARX$51.5K@ 68¢·Lakersfan111

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$7
6h
+$69.3K
tracked
$123.6K

1 verified profitable wallet: BNK FEARX · $3 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 63% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 33 minutes old.
  • •Less than 11h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-12 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win the match against JD Gaming.

•This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against BNK FEARX.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 1 match between BNK FEARX and JD Gaming in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win the match against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against BNK FEARX. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 12, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY BNK FEARX@ 69.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY BNK FEARX@ 68.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor BNK FEARX; negative values favor JD Gaming. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBNK FEARX · $7
6hBNK FEARX · $69.3K
24hBNK FEARX · $86.6K

BNK FEARX price VWAP

Volume-weighted BNK FEARX price. JD Gaming fills are converted to the complementary BNK FEARX probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current67.5¢
VWAP 24h68.1¢▼ below by 0.6pp
VWAP 7d68.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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BNK FEARX price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
← now
$138.0K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYJD Gaming$17.5K@ 32.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBNK FEARX$51.5K@ 68.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYBNK FEARX$18.9K@ 68.0¢
kevinmeng0xddf3…8d34
🐋—about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Lakersfan111BNK FEARX$51.5K
BUY VWAP 68.0¢·1 fill
kevinmengBNK FEARX$18.9K
BUY VWAP 68.0¢·1 fill
Diabolical-PrizeJD Gaming$17.5K
BUY VWAP 32.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.