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Wuhan Tennis Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Leylah Fernandez

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $219.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $474.8KEvent: Wuhan Tennis Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Leylah Fernandez
11.5¢
Ekaterina Alexandrova
88.5¢
Leylah Fernandez
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection17Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets87Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority69Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 15 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:191 trades$195.0K trackedsource coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Leylah Fernandez · $61.1K net·15 wallets·$70.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLeylah Fernandez$7.9K@ 59¢·UpTheBlues

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Leylah Fernandez pressure: $33.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$33.1K
6h
−$63.2K
tracked
$195.0K

15 verified profitable wallets: Leylah Fernandez · $61.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 69

Since latest large flow: +14.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable BUY price moved 14.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Leylah Fernandez or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-19 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Ekaterina Alexandrova and Leylah Fernandez in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ekaterina Alexandrova' if Ekaterina Alexandrova advances against Leylah Fernandez. This market will resolve to 'Leylah Fernandez' if Leylah Fernandez advances against Ekaterina Alexandrova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Leylah Fernandez1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Leylah Fernandez@ 75.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +6.0pp1h INVALIDATED -12.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Leylah Fernandez2h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Leylah Fernandez@ 59.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +8.0pp1h INVALIDATED -4.0pp
Latest book event: Leylah Fernandez UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $60.9K → $158 · 3s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ekaterina Alexandrova; negative values favor Leylah Fernandez. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLeylah Fernandez · $33.1K
6hLeylah Fernandez · $63.2K
24hLeylah Fernandez · $61.5K

Ekaterina Alexandrova price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ekaterina Alexandrova price. Leylah Fernandez fills are converted to the complementary Ekaterina Alexandrova probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current11.5¢
VWAP 24h38.4¢▼ below by 26.9pp
VWAP 7d38.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Ekaterina Alexandrova price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$2
55¢
$28.8K
50¢
$19.2K
45¢
$18.8K
40¢
$47.5K
35¢
$10.5K
30¢
$21.7K
25¢
$6.5K
20¢
$12.7K
15¢
$14.4K
10¢
← now
$14.8K
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

UpTheBluesLeylah Fernandez$42.6K
BUY VWAP 65.8¢·25 fills
luisterraLeylah Fernandez$21.0K
BUY VWAP 63.8¢·7 fills
luisterraEkaterina Alexandrova$14.3K
BUY VWAP 56.2¢·4 fills
KkunnEkaterina Alexandrova$12.0K
BUY VWAP 39.4¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.