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China Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Nikola Bartunkova

Sports→TennisSettlement: Mirra AndreevaLiquidity: $192.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $326.6KEvent: China Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Nikola Bartunkova
100.0¢
Mirra Andreeva payout
0.0¢
Nikola Bartunkova payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:63 trades$151.2K tracked10% 🐋source coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 74 min agoofficial metadata 44 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Mirra Andreeva · $31.1K net·6 wallets·$34.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMirra Andreeva$20.8K@ 98¢·hd777

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Mirra Andreeva. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-17 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Mirra Andreeva and Nikola Bartunkova in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mirra Andreeva' if Mirra Andreeva advances against Nikola Bartunkova. This market will resolve to 'Nikola Bartunkova' if Nikola Bartunkova advances against Mirra Andreeva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Mirra Andreeva DOWN 2.5pp · near-book depth $81.1K → $45.6K · 90s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Mirra Andreeva; negative values favor Nikola Bartunkova. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMirra Andreeva · $67.1K
6hMirra Andreeva · $91.6K
24hMirra Andreeva · $81.8K

Mirra Andreeva price VWAP

Volume-weighted Mirra Andreeva price. Nikola Bartunkova fills are converted to the complementary Mirra Andreeva probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h88.4¢▲ above by 11.6pp
VWAP 7d88.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Mirra Andreeva price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$71.2K
90¢
$11.5K
85¢
$22.1K
80¢
$14.9K
75¢
$2.0K
70¢
$695
65¢
$28.9K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMirra Andreeva$19.2K@ 99.9¢
LhordGryffin0x9909…311c
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMirra Andreeva$20.8K@ 98.0¢
hd7770x986b…bdc6
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMirra Andreeva$10.0K@ 97.0¢
Gumayusi980x5bc6…eff4
🐋—about 2 hours ago
SELLMirra Andreeva$12.1K@ 88.0¢
Illiasca0xc0a5…1f5f
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMirra Andreeva$11.5K@ 83.8¢
Illiasca0xc0a5…1f5f
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMirra Andreeva$10.5K@ 67.0¢
one8tyfive0xcf6c…7e66
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

UpTheBluesMirra Andreeva$25.0K
BUY VWAP 93.5¢·7 fills
hd777Mirra Andreeva$20.8K
BUY VWAP 98.0¢·1 fill
LhordGryffinMirra Andreeva$19.2K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
IlliascaMirra Andreeva$11.5K
BUY VWAP 83.8¢·1 fill
one8tyfiveMirra Andreeva$10.5K
BUY VWAP 67.0¢·1 fill
Gumayusi98Mirra Andreeva$10.0K
BUY VWAP 97.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.