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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $684.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $461.3KEvent: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Casper Ruud
0.1¢
Yunchaokete Bu
100.0¢
Casper Ruud
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets54Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:155 trades$162.5K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Casper Ruud · $31.4K net·12 wallets(1🐋)·$58.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCasper Ruud$15.1K@ 77¢·0x2c33…0563

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Casper Ruud pressure: $4.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$4.5K
6h
−$30.3K
tracked
$162.5K

12 verified profitable wallets: Casper Ruud · $31.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 84% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +15.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 15.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Casper Ruud or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-17 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Yunchaokete Bu and Casper Ruud in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yunchaokete Bu' if Yunchaokete Bu advances against Casper Ruud. This market will resolve to 'Casper Ruud' if Casper Ruud advances against Yunchaokete Bu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Casper Ruud34m ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Casper Ruud@ 85.0¢37m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPBUY Casper Ruud@ 71.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +6.0pp
Latest book event: Yunchaokete Bu DOWN 3.5pp · near-book depth $23.6K → $9.5K · 8s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Yunchaokete Bu; negative values favor Casper Ruud. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCasper Ruud · $4.5K
6hCasper Ruud · $30.3K
24hCasper Ruud · $26.3K

Yunchaokete Bu price VWAP

Volume-weighted Yunchaokete Bu price. Casper Ruud fills are converted to the complementary Yunchaokete Bu probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h23.4¢▼ below by 23.4pp
VWAP 7d23.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Yunchaokete Bu price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$26.0K
45¢
$10.6K
40¢
$838
35¢
$0
30¢
$10.6K
25¢
$8.3K
20¢
$31.4K
15¢
$32.4K
10¢
$2.5K
5¢
$4.5K
0¢
← now
$35.4K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCasper Ruud$10.7K@ 82.7¢
177-letsgo0x7a75…d288
🐋—38 minutes ago
BUYCasper Ruud$15.1K@ 77.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYCasper Ruud$10.0K@ 70.0¢
hurrican0x8718…5040
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Casper Ruud$15.1K
BUY VWAP 77.0¢·1 fill
UpTheBluesCasper Ruud$11.0K
BUY VWAP 81.3¢·4 fills
177-letsgoCasper Ruud$10.7K
BUY VWAP 82.7¢·1 fill
hurricanCasper Ruud$10.0K
BUY VWAP 70.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.