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Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner

Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeSettlement: SpiritLiquidity: $1.1MOfficial 24h Vol: $857.5KEvent: Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
0.0¢
MOUZ payout
100.0¢
Spirit payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:218 trades$316.4K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 25 min agoofficial metadata 6 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:MOUZ · $14.0K net·13 wallets(1🐋)·$101.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSpirit$34.0K@ 59¢·ScroooogeMcDuck

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Spirit. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-10 23:45 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 2 against Spirit.

•This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win Map 2 against MOUZ.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between MOUZ and Spirit in the ESL Pro League Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 2 against Spirit. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win Map 2 against MOUZ. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 24, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 10, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x2c33…05633 linked markets · $304.4K gross
0x076d…8d4c3 linked markets · $137.2K gross
juice-fruit2 linked markets · $118.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Spirit55m ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Spirit@ 82.0¢57m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Spirit1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Spirit@ 51.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +17.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: MOUZ DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $2.7K → $6.5K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor MOUZ; negative values favor Spirit. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMOUZ · $17.3K
6hMOUZ · $1.1K
24hMOUZ · $1.1K

MOUZ price VWAP

Volume-weighted MOUZ price. Spirit fills are converted to the complementary MOUZ probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h36.9¢▼ below by 36.9pp
VWAP 7d36.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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MOUZ price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$2.0K
50¢
$106.8K
45¢
$20.4K
40¢
$74.3K
35¢
$17.4K
30¢
$18.5K
25¢
$7.3K
20¢
$11.4K
15¢
$4.6K
10¢
$0
5¢
$15.9K
0¢
← now
$37.9K

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSpirit$34.0K@ 59.0¢
ScroooogeMcDuck0xc350…3669
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMOUZ$20.2K@ 53.3¢
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYSpirit$20.0K@ 48.4¢0x11e5…337e🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ScroooogeMcDuckSpirit$34.0K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·1 fill
Sunshine.SmileMOUZ$20.2K
BUY VWAP 53.3¢·1 fill
0x11e5…337eSpirit$20.0K
BUY VWAP 48.4¢·1 fill
0xheavy888Spirit$13.9K
BUY VWAP 62.9¢·5 fills
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fSpirit$13.2K
BUY VWAP 58.3¢·8 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.