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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Gea

Sports→TennisSettlement: Arthur GeaLiquidity: $675.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $555.2KEvent: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Gea
0.0¢
Ben Shelton payout
100.0¢
Arthur Gea payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:279 trades$210.7K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 55 min agoofficial metadata 46 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Ben Shelton · $23.9K net·10 wallets(1🐋)·$64.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBen Shelton$19.2K@ 67¢·fkcvffcjt

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Arthur Gea. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-19 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Ben Shelton and Arthur Gea in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ben Shelton' if Ben Shelton advances against Arthur Gea. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Gea' if Arthur Gea advances against Ben Shelton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Ben Shelton@ 52.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -41.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPBUY Ben Shelton@ 66.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -36.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Arthur Gea UP 8.0pp · near-book depth $73.7K → $45.1K · 18s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ben Shelton; negative values favor Arthur Gea. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBen Shelton · $22.8K
6hBen Shelton · $66.6K
24hBen Shelton · $80.9K

Ben Shelton price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ben Shelton price. Arthur Gea fills are converted to the complementary Ben Shelton probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h46.3¢▼ below by 46.3pp
VWAP 7d46.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Ben Shelton price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$135
75¢
$10.5K
70¢
$42.2K
65¢
$41.7K
60¢
$3.2K
55¢
$7.9K
50¢
$12.3K
45¢
$12.2K
40¢
$16.5K
35¢
$1.7K
30¢
$3.4K
25¢
$656
20¢
$9.2K
15¢
$3.5K
10¢
$0
5¢
$11.4K
0¢
← now
$34.4K

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLArthur Gea$11.6K@ 99.9¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBen Shelton$19.2K@ 67.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBen Shelton$17.5K@ 67.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fkcvffcjtBen Shelton$38.6K
BUY VWAP 66.9¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.