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Set Handicap: Nikola Bartunkova (-1.5) vs Lilli Tagger (+1.5)

Sports→TennisSettlement: Lilli TaggerLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: —Event: Wuhan Tennis Open: Lilli Tagger vs Nikola Bartunkova
0.0¢
Nikola Bartunkova payout
100.0¢
Lilli Tagger payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:2 trades$25 trackedsource coverage unavailableBUY/SELL known 100%
tape 74 min agoofficial metadata 8 min ago

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Lilli Tagger. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-19 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Nikola Bartunkova" if Nikola Bartunkova wins by 2 or more sets than Lilli Tagger, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Lilli Tagger."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Nikola Bartunkova can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Lilli Tagger."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Nikola Bartunkova and Lilli Tagger in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Nikola Bartunkova" if Nikola Bartunkova wins by 2 or more sets than Lilli Tagger, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Lilli Tagger." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Nikola Bartunkova can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Lilli Tagger." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 8m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Nikola Bartunkova; negative values favor Lilli Tagger. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNikola Bartunkova · $0
6hLilli Tagger · $6
24hNikola Bartunkova · $13

Nikola Bartunkova price VWAP

Volume-weighted Nikola Bartunkova price. Lilli Tagger fills are converted to the complementary Nikola Bartunkova probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h35.7¢▼ below by 35.7pp
VWAP 7d35.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Nikola Bartunkova price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$19
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$6

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.