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UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)

● quote 23s ago
Sports→Combat SportsCloses: about 21 hoursLiquidity: $330.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $84.6KEvent: UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)

Indicative prices · 23s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

50.5¢
Alexander Volkanovski
49.5¢
Movsar Evloev
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:26 trades$31.5K trackedsource coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 82 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alexander Volkanovski · $4.1K net·3 wallets·$4.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMovsar Evloev$7.0K@ 51¢·timebrotime

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$2.1K
tracked
$31.5K

3 verified profitable wallets: Alexander Volkanovski · $4.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 82 minutes old.
  • •Less than 22h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-25 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Alexander Volkanovski" if Alexander Volkanovski is officially declared the winner of the fight against Movsar Evloev at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Movsar Evloev" if Movsar Evloev is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Alexander Volkanovski" if Alexander Volkanovski is officially declared the winner of the fight against Movsar Evloev at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Movsar Evloev" if Movsar Evloev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alexander Volkanovski; negative values favor Movsar Evloev. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlexander Volkanovski · $0
6hAlexander Volkanovski · $2.1K
24hAlexander Volkanovski · $14.1K

Alexander Volkanovski price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alexander Volkanovski price. Movsar Evloev fills are converted to the complementary Alexander Volkanovski probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current50.5¢
VWAP 24h50.16¢▲ above by 0.3pp
VWAP 7d49.79¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alexander Volkanovski price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$39.4K
45¢
$18.1K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

WhattDoyoumeanAlexander Volkanovski$11.3K
BUY VWAP 50.54¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.