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UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)

● quote just now
Sports→Combat SportsCloses: about 11 hoursLiquidity: $147.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $142.6KEvent: UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

54.5¢
Alexander Volkov
45.5¢
Rizvan Kuniev
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly74Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets26Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:45 trades$62.0K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 22 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alexander Volkov · $17.8K net·3 wallets(1🐋)·$43.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAlexander Volkov$26.6K@ 55¢·Excentrico

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Alexander Volkov pressure: $1.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$1.4K
6h
+$6.2K
tracked
$62.0K

3 verified profitable wallets: Alexander Volkov · $17.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 22 minutes old.
  • •Less than 12h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Alexander Volkov or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-25 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Alexander Volkov" if Alexander Volkov is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rizvan Kuniev at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Rizvan Kuniev" if Rizvan Kuniev is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Alexander Volkov" if Alexander Volkov is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rizvan Kuniev at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Rizvan Kuniev" if Rizvan Kuniev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Alexander Volkov@ 55.0¢22h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -3.0pp6h STALLED -2.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alexander Volkov; negative values favor Rizvan Kuniev. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlexander Volkov · $1.4K
6hAlexander Volkov · $6.2K
24hAlexander Volkov · $28.8K

Alexander Volkov price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alexander Volkov price. Rizvan Kuniev fills are converted to the complementary Alexander Volkov probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current54.5¢
VWAP 24h54.37¢▲ above by 0.1pp
VWAP 7d54.34¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alexander Volkov price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$30.9K
50¢
← now
$32.6K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLAlexander Volkov$10.3K@ 53.0¢
Excentrico0x23cb…80d0
🐋—about 21 hours ago
BUYAlexander Volkov$26.6K@ 55.11¢
Excentrico0x23cb…80d0
🐋—about 23 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ExcentricoAlexander Volkov$29.5K
BUY VWAP 55.10¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.