PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

O/U 2.5 Rounds

● quote 862 min ago
Sports→Combat SportsCloses: about 9 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $9.0KEvent: UFC 333: Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)

Indicative prices · 862 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

44.0¢
Over
56.0¢
Under
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution56Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 53%
24h sample:3 trades$1.1K trackedsource coverage 13%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 116 min agoofficial metadata 14 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYUnder$1.0K@ 50¢·shiamishi

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$1.0K
tracked
$1.1K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 53% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 862 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 116 minutes old.
  • •Less than 10h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-25 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Colby Thicknesse and Asaf Chopurov at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.

•Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.

Read full resolution rules

Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Colby Thicknesse and Asaf Chopurov at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. "Under 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond November 7, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOver · $0
6hUnder · $1.0K
24hUnder · $1.1K

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current44.0¢
VWAP 24h49.38¢▼ below by 5.4pp
VWAP 7d49.38¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$1.0K
45¢
$0
40¢
← now
$100
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

UFC 333: Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)
99.95¢$286.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
O/U 0.5 Rounds
83.0¢$225priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
O/U 1.5 Rounds
58.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
44.5¢$1.4Mpriority47Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Almaty Open: Alexander Bublik vs Karen Khachanov
—$1.1Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Marie Bouzkova
—$798.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)
99.95¢$780.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
18.1¢$712.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.