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Rovereto: Martyna Kubka vs Alina Charaeva

● quote 1 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: —Event: Rovereto: Martyna Kubka vs Alina Charaeva
76.5¢
Martyna Kubka
23.5¢
Alina Charaeva
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection70Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets37Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 90%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:14 trades$20.2K tracked7% 🐋source coverage unavailableBUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alina Charaeva · $33 net·2 wallets·$59 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMartyna Kubka$16.9K@ 75¢·0x1610…ae49

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Martyna Kubka pressure: $14.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$14.1K
6h
+$14.1K
tracked
$20.2K

2 verified profitable wallets: Alina Charaeva · $33 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 90% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Martyna Kubka or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-19 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Martyna Kubka and Alina Charaeva in the Rovereto, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martyna Kubka' if Martyna Kubka advances against Alina Charaeva. This market will resolve to 'Alina Charaeva' if Alina Charaeva advances against Martyna Kubka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Martyna Kubka; negative values favor Alina Charaeva. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMartyna Kubka · $14.1K
6hMartyna Kubka · $14.1K
24hMartyna Kubka · $14.1K

Martyna Kubka price VWAP

Volume-weighted Martyna Kubka price. Alina Charaeva fills are converted to the complementary Martyna Kubka probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current76.5¢
VWAP 24h70.4¢▲ above by 6.1pp
VWAP 7d70.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Martyna Kubka price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$1
75¢
← now
$0
70¢
$16.9K
65¢
$68
60¢
$0
55¢
$24
50¢
$137
45¢
$3.0K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMartyna Kubka$16.9K@ 75.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—19 minutes ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Game Spread: Alina Charaeva (-5.5) vs Martyna Kubka (+5.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Martyna Kubka vs Alina Charaeva
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kubka vs. Charaeva: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Martyna Kubka vs Alina Charaeva
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kubka vs. Charaeva: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kubka vs. Charaeva: Match O/U 23.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kubka vs. Charaeva: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kubka vs. Charaeva: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x1610…ae49Martyna Kubka$16.9K
BUY VWAP 75.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.