PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Set 1 Winner: Martyna Kubka vs Alina Charaeva

Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: —Event: Rovereto: Martyna Kubka vs Alina Charaeva
0.0¢
Martyna Kubka
0.0¢
Alina Charaeva
0.0¢
Spread
anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection100Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:2 trades$26 trackedsource coverage unavailableBUY/SELL known 100%
tape 36 min agoofficial metadata 10 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$26
6h
−$26
tracked
$26

1 verified profitable wallet: Alina Charaeva · $25 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Only 2 tracked trades / 2 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 36 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-19 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Martyna Kubka” if Martyna Kubka wins the first set. It will resolve to “Alina Charaeva” if Alina Charaeva wins the first set.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Martyna Kubka and Alina Charaeva in the Rovereto, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Martyna Kubka” if Martyna Kubka wins the first set. It will resolve to “Alina Charaeva” if Alina Charaeva wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA Challenger match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Martyna Kubka; negative values favor Alina Charaeva. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlina Charaeva · $26
6hAlina Charaeva · $26
24hAlina Charaeva · $26

Martyna Kubka price VWAP

Volume-weighted Martyna Kubka price. Alina Charaeva fills are converted to the complementary Martyna Kubka probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h87.0¢▼ below by NaNpp
VWAP 7d87.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Martyna Kubka price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$26
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Rovereto: Martyna Kubka vs Alina Charaeva
80.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Martyna Kubka vs. Alina Charaeva: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kubka vs. Charaeva: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Alina Charaeva (-1.5) vs Martyna Kubka (+1.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kubka vs. Charaeva: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Alina Charaeva (-5.5) vs Martyna Kubka (+5.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kubka vs. Charaeva: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Martyna Kubka vs Alina Charaeva
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.