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Set 1 Winner: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli

Sports→TennisSettlement: Valerio AboianLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $294Event: Santa Cruz 2: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli
100.0¢
Valerio Aboian payout
0.0¢
Franco Roncadelli payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:1 trades$1 trackedsource coverage 0%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 179 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Valerio Aboian. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-19 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Valerio Aboian” if Valerio Aboian wins the first set. It will resolve to “Franco Roncadelli” if Franco Roncadelli wins the first set.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Valerio Aboian and Franco Roncadelli in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Valerio Aboian” if Valerio Aboian wins the first set. It will resolve to “Franco Roncadelli” if Franco Roncadelli wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 34m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 34m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Valerio Aboian; negative values favor Franco Roncadelli. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hValerio Aboian · $0
6hValerio Aboian · $1
24hValerio Aboian · $1

Valerio Aboian price VWAP

Volume-weighted Valerio Aboian price. Franco Roncadelli fills are converted to the complementary Valerio Aboian probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h42.0¢▲ above by 58.0pp
VWAP 7d42.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Valerio Aboian price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$1
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Santa Cruz 2: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli
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Aboian vs. Roncadelli: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
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Aboian vs. Roncadelli: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
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Valerio Aboian vs. Franco Roncadelli: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Aboian vs. Roncadelli: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Aboian vs. Roncadelli: Match O/U 23.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.