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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner

● quote 20s ago
Sports→Esports · Dota 2Closes: 16 minutesLiquidity: $805.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $2.0MEvent: Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
99.9¢
Team Yandex
0.1¢
Team Spirit
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection15Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets9Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 83%💡 33 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:474 trades$655.9K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Team Yandex · $10.5K net·33 wallets·$119.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Yandex$34.8K@ 100¢·PB2.KALInn

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Team Yandex pressure: $99.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$99.5K
6h
+$103.1K
tracked
$655.9K

33 verified profitable wallets: Team Yandex · $10.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 83% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: -96.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Team Yandex or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-11 20:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win Game 4 against Team Spirit.

•This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win Game 4 against Team Yandex.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Grand Final match between Team Yandex and Team Spirit in the BLAST Slam Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win Game 4 against Team Spirit. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win Game 4 against Team Yandex. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 11, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Lakersfan1113 linked markets · $421.2K gross
Diabolical-Prize5 linked markets · $341.3K gross
GameGambleStakes4 linked markets · $109.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Team Yandex@ 96.0¢54m ago
15m INVALIDATED -10.8pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Team Yandex1h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Team Yandex1h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Team Spirit1h ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Team Yandex DOWN 2.9pp · near-book depth $8.2K → $617 · 33s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team Yandex; negative values favor Team Spirit. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Yandex · $99.5K
6hTeam Yandex · $103.1K
24hTeam Yandex · $103.1K

Team Yandex price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team Yandex price. Team Spirit fills are converted to the complementary Team Yandex probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h73.0¢▲ above by 26.9pp
VWAP 7d73.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Team Yandex price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$170.1K
90¢
$18.9K
85¢
$14.6K
80¢
$16.2K
75¢
$77.5K
70¢
$48.5K
65¢
$18.1K
60¢
$4.2K
55¢
$208.5K
50¢
$46.9K
45¢
$6.5K
40¢
$16.6K
35¢
$9.3K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTeam Yandex$15.0K@ 98.8¢
cat3xcat3x0x08c2…c023
🐋—31 minutes ago
SELLTeam Yandex$10.3K@ 99.6¢
kuz1111110xa46e…9038
🐋—33 minutes ago
BUYTeam Yandex$34.8K@ 99.8¢
PB2.KALInn0x2ee4…fa88
🐋—33 minutes ago
BUYTeam Yandex$32.5K@ 77.9¢
ColdBlooded0xbcc3…ac9c
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Spirit$20.8K@ 44.0¢
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Spirit$15.4K@ 44.0¢
Netrol0x23c8…f293
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYTeam Yandex$17.9K@ 57.0¢
GeorgeRe0x87da…53d1
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYTeam Spirit$20.4K@ 44.0¢
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYTeam Spirit$10.1K@ 44.0¢
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

CORGI8Team Spirit$51.3K
BUY VWAP 44.0¢·3 fills
PB2.KALInnTeam Yandex$34.8K
BUY VWAP 99.8¢·1 fill
ColdBloodedTeam Yandex$32.5K
BUY VWAP 77.9¢·1 fill
IztamoxTeam Yandex$25.9K
BUY VWAP 84.9¢·7 fills
0xe16d…5e30Team Yandex$21.4K
BUY VWAP 55.7¢·10 fills
cat3xcat3xTeam Yandex$20.9K
BUY VWAP 77.3¢·3 fills
GameGambleStakesTeam Yandex$20.4K
BUY VWAP 95.8¢·12 fills
GeorgeReTeam Yandex$17.9K
BUY VWAP 57.0¢·1 fill
yanedaniilTeam Yandex$17.8K
BUY VWAP 73.7¢·8 fills
NetrolTeam Spirit$15.4K
BUY VWAP 44.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.