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Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Politics→Closes: over 2 yearsLiquidity: $1.7M24h Vol: $24.7M
1.4¢
YES
98.5¢
NO
97.1¢
Spread
conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom1Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)
24h sample:80 trades2% YES98% NO
💡 Smart money 7d:YES 100%·2 wallets·$4.0K
🏆 Biggest bet:NO$13.4K@ 99¢·0x3225…e6c6

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.climax

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.
1h$65
6h$2.1K
24h$26.6K

VWAP vs Price

VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price — the true average price weighted by how much money traded at each level. Current price above VWAP = overbought vs recent activity. Below = trading at a discount.
Current1.4¢
VWAP 24h97.0¢▼ discount
VWAP 7d95.2¢
Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢
$657.4K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$14.3K

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Accumulation

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Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now
NO$13.4K@ 98.6¢0x3225…e6c6🐋+0.0%3 days ago
NO$11.2K@ 98.6¢0x4020…dff8🐋+0.0%3 days ago
NO$10.7K@ 98.6¢0xd605…74a3🐋+0.0%3 days ago
NO$11.0K@ 99.0¢0x196d…f82c🐋-0.4%11 days ago

Related Markets · Politics

Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0.7¢$50.6M2
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0.6¢$50.0M1
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0.7¢$49.1M0
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0.8¢$48.3M6
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0.6¢$45.0M2
💡 Smart Wallets · 7d
gloriafosterYES$3.7K
.sorryYES$323