Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

PoliticsCloses: over 2 yearsLiquidity: $2.6M24h Vol: $38.9M
0.6¢
YES
99.3¢
NO
98.7¢
Spread
conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)
24h sample:111 trades0% YES100% NO
💡 Smart money 7d:NO 100%·4 wallets·$10.8K
🏆 Biggest bet:NO$34.8K@ 99¢·Samsonitte

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.climax

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.
1h$318
6h$18.6K
24h$38.4K

VWAP vs Price

VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price — the true average price weighted by how much money traded at each level. Current price above VWAP = overbought vs recent activity. Below = trading at a discount.
Current0.6¢
VWAP 24h99.3¢▼ discount
VWAP 7d99.3¢
Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢
$1.7M
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$1.4K

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Accumulation

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Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now
NO$19.5K@ 99.3¢0x9d23…8502🐋+0.1%2 days ago
NO$19.5K@ 99.4¢0x9d23…8502🐋+0.0%2 days ago
NO$28.7K@ 99.3¢0x9fb7…9f50🐋+0.1%10 days ago
NO$28.7K@ 99.4¢0x9fb7…9f50🐋+0.0%10 days ago
NO$26.1K@ 99.4¢
Samsonitte0x7ba5…4252
🐋+0.0%20 days ago
NO$34.8K@ 99.4¢
Samsonitte0x7ba5…4252
🐋+0.0%20 days ago
NO$34.1K@ 99.4¢
Samsonitte0x7ba5…4252
🐋+0.0%20 days ago
NO$34.1K@ 99.4¢
Samsonitte0x7ba5…4252
🐋+0.0%20 days ago
NO$33.8K@ 99.4¢
Samsonitte0x7ba5…4252
🐋+0.0%20 days ago
NO$33.3K@ 99.4¢
Samsonitte0x7ba5…4252
🐋+0.0%20 days ago
NO$32.8K@ 99.4¢
Samsonitte0x7ba5…4252
🐋+0.0%20 days ago
NO$32.3K@ 99.4¢
Samsonitte0x7ba5…4252
🐋+0.0%20 days ago
NO$31.8K@ 99.4¢
Samsonitte0x7ba5…4252
🐋+0.0%20 days ago
NO$31.4K@ 99.4¢
Samsonitte0x7ba5…4252
🐋+0.0%20 days ago
NO$31.3K@ 99.4¢
Samsonitte0x7ba5…4252
🐋+0.0%20 days ago
NO$30.8K@ 99.4¢
Samsonitte0x7ba5…4252
🐋+0.0%20 days ago
NO$30.1K@ 99.4¢
Samsonitte0x7ba5…4252
🐋+0.0%20 days ago
NO$29.8K@ 99.4¢
Samsonitte0x7ba5…4252
🐋+0.0%20 days ago
NO$29.8K@ 99.4¢
Samsonitte0x7ba5…4252
🐋+0.0%20 days ago
NO$24.9K@ 99.4¢
Samsonitte0x7ba5…4252
🐋+0.0%20 days ago
NO$20.9K@ 99.3¢
merrillvince0xc181…852a
🐋+0.1%21 days ago
NO$20.9K@ 99.4¢
merrillvince0xc181…852a
🐋+0.0%21 days ago
NO$22.0K@ 99.3¢
chuckymillard0xe3ad…7892
🐋+0.1%29 days ago
NO$22.0K@ 99.4¢
chuckymillard0xe3ad…7892
🐋+0.0%29 days ago